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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Montpellier

T S T U U

3–0

Full-time

Toulouse

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

25%

58%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

1,8

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 14. · Toulouse 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	0	3	+20	30
2	Angers	13	6	3	4	+1	21
3	Lille	13	5	4	4	+5	19
4	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Reims	13	5	4	4	+3	19
6	Nantes	12	6	1	5	+0	19
7	Marseille	12	5	4	3	-2	19
8	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Monaco	13	5	3	5	-2	18
10	St Etienne	12	5	3	4	-3	18
11	Brest	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Nice	13	5	2	6	-3	17
13	Lyon	12	4	4	4	+8	16
14	Montpellier	12	4	4	4	+1	16
15	Amiens	13	4	4	5	-3	16
16	Strasbourg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Metz	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Toulouse	12	3	3	6	-7	12
19	Dijon	13	3	3	7	-7	12
20	Nimes	12	2	5	5	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	7	5	2	0	+10	17
2	Angers	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Paris SG	6	5	0	1	+14	15
4	Strasbourg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Montpellier	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
8	Brest	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Nice	7	3	2	2	+0	11
11	Rennes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Reims	7	2	4	1	+2	10
13	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+1	10
14	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+1	9
15	Toulouse	6	3	0	3	-1	9
16	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+6	8
17	Bordeaux	6	2	2	2	+2	8
18	Metz	6	2	2	2	+1	8
19	Dijon	6	2	2	2	-1	8
20	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+1	11
3	Reims	6	3	0	3	+1	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Marseille	6	2	2	2	-4	8
8	Nice	6	2	0	4	-3	6
9	Nantes	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Amiens	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Monaco	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Brest	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Metz	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Angers	6	1	2	3	-9	5
15	Dijon	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	Nimes	7	0	4	3	-7	4
17	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Toulouse	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Lille	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Strasbourg	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.