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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Molde
S U S T S
4–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
67%
22%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
59%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 1. · Stromsgodset 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 27 18 5 4 +33 59
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 14 9 4 +20 51
3 Odd 28 14 7 7 +7 49
4 Rosenborg 27 12 9 6 +10 45
5 Viking 28 12 7 9 +9 43
6 Brann 28 10 10 8 +5 40
7 Kristiansund 27 10 8 9 +0 38
8 Haugesund 28 8 12 8 +4 36
9 Valerenga 27 8 9 10 -2 33
10 Stabaek 27 8 9 10 -2 33
11 Lillestrom 27 7 8 12 -12 29
12 Sarpsborg 08 27 5 13 9 -6 28
13 Tromso 27 8 4 15 -18 28
14 Stromsgodset 27 6 8 13 -16 26
15 Mjondalen 27 4 12 11 -15 24
16 Ranheim 27 6 6 15 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Stromsgodset
Fredrik Aursnes 🟨
10′
1–0 Ohi Omoijuanfo
Magnus Eikrem
19′
2–0 Magnus Eikrem
Eirik Hestad
34′
Half-time 2–0
Leke James 🟨
46′
Kristoffer Haugen 🟨
52′
Mathis Bolly 🔁
↦ Magnus Eikrem
60′
3–0 Leke James
74′
75′
🔁 Muhammed Keita
↦ Mikkel Maigaard
76′
🔁 Johan Hove
↦ Jack Ipalibo
4–0 Leke James
Kristoffer Haugen
81′
83′
🟨 Moses Dramwi Mawa
Henry Wingo 🔁
↦ Kristoffer Haraldseid
84′
Fredrik Sjolstad 🔁
↦ Eirik Hestad
84′
89′
🔁 Henning Hauger
↦ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 Andreas Linde G
18 Kristoffer Haraldseid D
2 Martin Bjornbak D
4 Ruben Gabrielsen D
28 Kristoffer Haugen D
17 Fredrik Aursnes M
16 Etzaz Hussain M
19 Eirik Hestad M
7 Magnus Eikrem M
99 Ohi Omoijuanfo M
10 Leke James F
Bench (7)
12 Alexandro Craninx
5 Vegard Forren
8 Fredrik Sjolstad
11 Martin Ellingsen
20 Henry Wingo
9 Mattias Mostrom
30 Mathis Bolly

Coach: E. Moe

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
35 Martin Hansen G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
4 Duplexe Tchamba D
22 Prosper Mendy D
7 Herman Stengel M
42 Jack Ipalibo M
20 Mikkel Maigaard M
11 Kristoffer Tokstad F
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F
10 Moses Dramwi Mawa F
Bench (7)
1 Viljar Myhra
39 Lars Saetra
3 Jonathan Parr
2 Mounir Hamoud
8 Johan Hove
6 Henning Hauger
77 Muhammed Keita

Coach: H. Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.