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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Rennes
T U T T S
3–1
Full-time
Amiens
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 35%
36%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
36%
58%
Both score Ø 65%
55%
75%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
22 Shots 13
11 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
12 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 15. · Amiens 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 10 0 3 +20 30
2 Angers 13 6 3 4 +1 21
3 Lille 13 5 4 4 +5 19
4 Bordeaux 13 5 4 4 +3 19
5 Reims 13 5 4 4 +3 19
6 Nantes 12 6 1 5 +0 19
7 Marseille 12 5 4 3 -2 19
8 Monaco 13 5 3 5 -2 18
9 St Etienne 12 5 3 4 -3 18
10 Brest 13 4 5 4 -2 17
11 Nice 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 Lyon 12 4 4 4 +8 16
13 Montpellier 12 4 4 4 +1 16
14 Amiens 12 4 4 4 -1 16
15 Rennes 11 4 3 4 +1 15
16 Strasbourg 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Metz 13 3 4 6 -7 13
18 Toulouse 12 3 3 6 -7 12
19 Dijon 13 3 3 7 -7 12
20 Nimes 12 2 5 5 -5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Amiens
Yann Gboho 🟨
16′
Benjamin Bourigeaud 🟨
16′
19′
🟨 Gaël Kakuta
35′
S. Guirassy 0–1
G. Kakuta
1–1 A. Hunou
39′
45′
🟨 Thomas Monconduit
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Eddy Gnahoré
59′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ F. Otero
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ Y. Gboho
61′
2–1 M. Niang
R. Del Castillo
62′
68′
🟨 Arturo Calabresi
3–1 Raphinha
79′
80′
🔁 E. Gnahoré
↦ T. Monconduit
Romain Del Castillo 🟨
83′
86′
🔁 M. Bodmer
↦ B. Zungu
J. Gelin 🔁
↦ A. Hunou
90′
T. Siebatcheu 🔁
↦ M. Niang
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
16 E. Mendy G
15 J. Morel D
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
21 J. Gnagnon D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
23 A. Hunou M
34 Y. Gboho F
18 E. Camavinga
11 M. Niang F
7 Raphinha M
Bench (7)
22 R. Del Castillo
26 J. Gelin
9 T. Siebatcheu
1 R. Salin
17 F. Maouassa
4 G. Nyamsi
10 R. Guitane

Coach: J. Stéphan

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
27 A. Chedjou D
14 H. Aleesami D
12 B. Dibassy D
3 A. Calabresi D
10 G. Kakuta M
20 S. Mendoza M
6 T. Monconduit M
8 B. Zungu M
9 S. Guirassy F
11 F. Otero M
Bench (7)
19 C. Akolo
5 E. Gnahoré
24 M. Bodmer
13 C. Jallet
17 A. Blin
25 J. Lefort
16 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,27
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.