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Super League

Referee: M Gestranius

Panathinaikos

S T S T U

3–2

Full-time

AEK

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Super League · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 38%

20%

56%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%

11 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 22

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 13. · AEK 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	PAOK	11	7	4	0	+10	25
3	Larisa	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	OFI Crete	11	5	2	4	+7	17
5	AEK	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Xanthi	11	5	1	5	-2	16
7	Aris	10	4	3	3	+5	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	10	4	3	3	+5	15
9	Volos NFC	11	5	0	6	-7	15
10	Atromitos	10	3	2	5	+1	11
11	Asteras Tripolis	11	3	1	7	-3	10
12	Panionios	11	2	3	6	-9	9
13	Panathinaikos	10	2	3	5	-10	9
14	Lamia	9	1	4	4	-9	7
15	Panetolikos	11	0	3	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	OFI Crete	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	PAOK	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Volos NFC	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Aris	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Aris Thessalonikis	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	AEK	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Atromitos	5	2	1	2	+4	7
9	Larisa	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Lamia	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Xanthi	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Asteras Tripolis	4	2	0	2	+2	6
13	Panionios	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Panetolikos	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Panathinaikos	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympiakos	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Larisa	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Xanthi	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Panathinaikos	6	2	2	2	-6	8
6	AEK	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Aris	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Aris Thessalonikis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	OFI Crete	6	1	2	3	-1	5
10	Atromitos	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	7	1	1	5	-5	4
12	Panionios	5	1	1	3	-7	4
13	Volos NFC	5	1	0	4	-8	3
14	Panetolikos	7	0	1	6	-10	1
15	Lamia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.