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Championship
Referee: T Harrington
Cardiff
T U U T S
0–1
Full-time
Bristol City
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Championship · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 38%
36%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 69%
64%
73%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 16. · Bristol City 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 16 9 6 1 +12 33
2 Preston 16 9 4 3 +14 31
3 Leeds 16 9 4 3 +12 31
4 Swansea 15 8 5 2 +9 29
5 Nott'm Forest 15 8 4 3 +7 28
6 Fulham 15 7 4 4 +7 25
7 Sheffield Weds 16 7 4 5 +7 25
8 Bristol City 15 6 7 2 +3 25
9 QPR 16 7 3 6 -4 24
10 Charlton 16 6 4 6 +3 22
11 Hull 16 6 4 6 +2 22
12 Birmingham 16 7 1 8 -5 22
13 Brentford 15 6 3 6 +5 21
14 Millwall 16 5 6 5 -3 21
15 Derby 16 5 6 5 -3 21
16 Cardiff 14 5 5 4 +1 20
17 Reading 15 5 3 7 -1 18
18 Blackburn 16 5 3 8 -4 18
19 Huddersfield 16 4 4 8 -6 16
20 Wigan 16 4 3 9 -11 15
21 Luton 16 4 2 10 -8 14
22 Middlesbrough 16 2 7 7 -8 13
23 Stoke 16 3 2 11 -12 11
24 Barnsley 16 1 6 9 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Bristol City
Marlon Pack 🟨
19′
27′
🟨 Ádám Nagy
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Tommy Rowe
63′
🔁 K. Palmer
↦ M. Watkins
67′
J. Brownhill 0–1
T. Rowe
G. Whyte 🔁
↦ L. Tomlin
75′
G. Madine 🔁
↦ O. Bogle
83′
86′
🔁 T. Moore
↦ Pedro Pereira
C. Paterson 🔁
↦ J. Hoilett
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
1 N. Etheridge G
2 L. Peltier D
3 J. Bennett D
5 A. Flint D
16 C. Nelson D
7 L. Bacuna M
15 M. Pack M
33 J. Hoilett M
17 L. Tomlin M
19 N. Mendez-Laing M
27 O. Bogle F
Bench (7)
20 G. Whyte
24 G. Madine
13 C. Paterson
12 A. Smithies
6 W. Vaulks
32 C. Coxe
22 S. Bamba

Coach: N. Warnock

Bristol City

3-5-2
1 D. Bentley
29 A. Williams D
6 N. Baker D
22 T. Kalas D
32 Pedro Pereira M
25 T. Rowe M
15 M. Watkins F
11 C. O'Dowda M
8 J. Brownhill M
4 Á. Nagy M
14 A. Weimann F
Bench (7)
45 K. Palmer
23 T. Moore
19 N. Eliasson
42 H. Massengo
33 N. Mäenpää
18 A. Semenyo
31 Rodri

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U
3,52
B ✓
3,64
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.