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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Rennes

U T U T T

3–2

Full-time

Toulouse

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

30%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rennes 14. · Toulouse 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+16	24
2	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
3	Lille	11	5	3	3	+6	18
4	Reims	11	5	3	3	+5	18
5	Angers	11	5	2	4	+0	17
6	Brest	11	4	5	2	+0	17
7	Marseille	10	4	4	2	+1	16
8	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Montpellier	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Monaco	11	4	3	4	-2	15
11	St Etienne	10	4	2	4	-4	14
12	Lyon	11	3	4	4	+7	13
13	Nice	11	4	1	6	-5	13
14	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+0	12
15	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-5	12
17	Strasbourg	11	3	3	5	-5	12
18	Nimes	11	2	5	4	-2	11
19	Metz	11	3	2	6	-7	11
20	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Angers	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Montpellier	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+10	12
6	Brest	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Strasbourg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Reims	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Toulouse	5	3	0	2	+0	9
11	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+6	8
12	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
14	Metz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
17	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	+0	5
18	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-2	5
20	Rennes	4	1	1	2	-1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Reims	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Nantes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Nice	6	2	0	4	-3	6
9	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+1	5
10	Amiens	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Monaco	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Brest	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Nimes	6	0	4	2	-4	4
14	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Metz	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Angers	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Toulouse	5	0	3	2	-5	3
18	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Lille	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Strasbourg	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.