Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Midtjylland
|
15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 38 |
| 2 |
FC Copenhagen
|
15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 34 |
| 3 |
Brondby
|
16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +11 | 31 |
| 4 |
Odense
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | +8 | 26 |
| 5 |
Aarhus
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |
Randers FC
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 |
Aalborg
|
16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |
Lyngby
|
16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 |
Nordsjaelland
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Sonderjyske
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 |
Horsens
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 18 |
| 12 |
Hobro
|
16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |
Esbjerg
|
16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -14 | 10 |
| 14 |
Silkeborg
|
16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -19 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aalborg
Midtjylland
Esbjerg
Midtjylland
Midtjylland
Randers FC
Silkeborg
Midtjylland
Midtjylland
Odense
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.