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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Wolves
S S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
18%
73%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 15. · Aston Villa 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 11 10 1 0 +16 31
2 Leicester 12 8 2 2 +21 26
3 Chelsea 12 8 2 2 +10 26
4 Man City 11 8 1 2 +24 25
5 Sheffield United 12 4 5 3 +4 17
6 Arsenal 12 4 5 3 -1 17
7 Bournemouth 12 4 4 4 +0 16
8 Brighton 11 4 3 4 +0 15
9 Burnley 12 4 3 5 -1 15
10 Crystal Palace 12 4 3 5 -6 15
11 Newcastle 12 4 3 5 -7 15
12 Tottenham 12 3 5 4 +1 14
13 Everton 12 4 2 6 -5 14
14 Man United 11 3 4 4 +2 13
15 Wolves 11 2 7 2 +0 13
16 West Ham 12 3 4 5 -6 13
17 Aston Villa 11 3 2 6 -2 11
18 Watford 12 1 5 6 -15 8
19 Southampton 12 2 2 8 -18 8
20 Norwich 12 2 1 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,60
B
4,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.