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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Montpellier
T S U S T
3–1
Full-time
Monaco
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
13%
88%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
1,5
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
17 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 8
4 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Montpellier 10. · Monaco 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 7 0 2 +13 21
2 Nantes 8 5 1 2 +3 16
3 Angers 9 5 1 3 +1 16
4 Lille 8 4 2 2 +4 14
5 Nice 8 4 1 3 +0 13
6 Marseille 9 3 4 2 -1 13
7 Bordeaux 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Rennes 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Reims 8 3 2 3 +3 11
10 Montpellier 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Amiens 9 3 2 4 -2 11
12 Lyon 8 2 3 3 +6 9
13 Monaco 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Strasbourg 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Toulouse 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Nimes 8 2 2 4 -2 8
17 Metz 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Brest 8 1 5 2 -5 8
19 St Etienne 8 2 2 4 -6 8
20 Dijon 8 1 2 5 -6 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Feb -19 Montpellier – Monaco 2–2 1. Dec -18 Monaco – Montpellier 1–2 13. Jan -18 Montpellier – Monaco 0–0 29. Sep -17 Monaco – Montpellier 1–1 7. Feb -17 Montpellier – Monaco 1–2

Match report

Montpellier Monaco
1–0 F. Mollet ⚽
G. Laborde
31′
2–0 Pedro Mendes ⚽
39′
Half-time 2–0
Nicolas Cozza 🟨
47′
3–0 A. Delort ⚽
F. Mollet
56′
58′
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
S. Camara 🔁
↦ A. Delort
59′
68′
🔁 R. Aguilar
↦ G. Maripán
68′
⚽ W. Ben Yedder 3–1
I. Slimani
69′
🔁 K. Baldé
↦ Fàbregas
81′
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
81′
🟥 Aleksandr Golovin
M. Ristić 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
82′
86′
🔁 Adrien Silva
↦ I. Slimani
D. Congré 🔁
↦ J. Chotard
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

3-4-1-2
1 G. Rulli G
4 Hilton D
5 Pedro Mendes D
8 A. Oyongo M
31 N. Cozza D
14 D. Le Tallec M
25 F. Mollet F
6 S. Sambia M
13 J. Chotard M
9 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (7)
19 S. Camara
26 M. Ristić
3 D. Congré
16 D. Bertaud
32 P. Škuletić
20 K. Dolly
22 M. Suárez

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Monaco

3-5-2
40 B. Lecomte G
25 K. Glik D
3 G. Maripán D
2 F. Ballo M
32 B. Badiashile D
4 Fàbregas M
6 T. Bakayoko M
17 A. Golovin M
20 I. Slimani F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
12 R. Aguilar
14 K. Baldé
8 Adrien Silva
16 D. Benaglio
31 Gil Dias
22 J. Augustin
5 Jemerson

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,89
🔒
U
3,28
🔒
B
2,49
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,91
🔒
U2,5
1,90
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.