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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Strasbourg
T S U U T
2–2
Full-time
Monaco
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 18. · Monaco 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 4 3 0 1 +8 9
2 Rennes 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Nice 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Angers 4 3 0 1 +1 9
5 Lyon 4 2 1 1 +8 7
6 Reims 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Nantes 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Toulouse 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Lille 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Brest 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Nimes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Marseille 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Montpellier 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Metz 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 St Etienne 3 1 1 1 -2 4
17 Amiens 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Strasbourg 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Monaco 3 0 1 2 -6 1
20 Dijon 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Monaco
11′
I. Slimani 0–1
Gelson Martins
Mohamed Simakan 🟨
13′
31′
🟨 Adrien Silva
37′
🟨 Guillermo Maripán
1–1 K. Lala
39′
40′
I. Slimani 1–2
Half-time 1–2
L. Zohi 🔁
↦ L. Mothiba
46′
Nuno Da Costa 🔁
↦ L. Zohi
65′
65′
🔁 Boschilia
↦ Adrien Silva
Adrien Thomasson 🟨
67′
Stefan Mitrovic 🟨
69′
82′
🟨 Gelson Martins
2–2 A. Thomasson
D. Liénard
84′
J. Bellegarde 🔁
↦ A. Thomasson
85′
85′
🔁 K. Baldé
↦ W. Ben Yedder
89′
🔁 H. Onyekuru
↦ Gelson Martins
Nuno Da Costa 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-4-1-2
1 M. Sels G
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole M
27 K. Lala M
24 A. Djiku D
2 M. Simakan D
11 D. Liénard M
26 A. Thomasson F
18 I. Sissoko M
25 L. Ajorque F
12 L. Mothiba F
Bench (7)
20 L. Zohi
29 Nuno Da Costa
17 J. Bellegarde
30 B. Kamara
10 B. Corgnet
34 A. Lebeau
5 L. Koné

Coach: T. Laurey

Monaco

3-5-2
40 B. Lecomte G
25 K. Glik D
3 G. Maripán D
2 F. Ballo M
32 B. Badiashile D
8 Adrien Silva M
17 A. Golovin M
31 Gil Dias M
20 I. Slimani F
22 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
26 Boschilia
14 K. Baldé
7 H. Onyekuru
27 Naldo
16 D. Benaglio
18 A. Zagre
33 P. N'Guinda

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,21
B
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.