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Europa League
Referee: D Siebert
Lazio
T U S T U
3–1
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/13 matches
Win Ø 59%
64%
54%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
55%
77%
Both score Ø 66%
55%
77%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,91 xG 1,42
53% Possession 47%
33 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 8
10 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 8
15 Corners 3
9 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -25 Bodo/Glimt – Lazio 2–0

Match report

Lazio Bodo/Glimt
1–0 V. Castellanos ⚽
G. Isaksen
21′
Nicolò Rovella 🟨
22′
35′
🟨 Kasper Høgh
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 S. Fet
↦ U. Saltnes
63′
🟨 Håkon Evjen
Nuno Tavares 🔁
↦ A. Marušić
68′
B. Dia 🔁
↦ Pedro
68′
76′
🔁 A. Helmersen
↦ K. Høgh
76′
🔁 I. Määttä
↦ O. Blomberg
77′
🟨 Andreas Helmersen
80′
🟨 Patrick Berg
L. Tchaouna 🔁
↦ G. Isaksen
85′
M. Vecino 🔁
↦ N. Rovella
85′
T. Noslin 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
88′
89′
🔁 B. Moe
↦ H. Evjen
2–0 T. Noslin ⚽
A. Romagnoli
93′
E. Hysaj 🔁
↦ Nuno Tavares
94′
3–0 B. Dia ⚽
M. Guendouzi
99′
102′
🟨 Fredrik Sjøvold
Manuel Lazzari 🟨
103′
103′
🔁 S. Sørli
↦ F. Bjørkan
105′
🔁 J. Kjær
↦ O. Bjørtuft
Boulaye Dia 🟨
107′
109′
⚽ A. Helmersen 3–1
I. Määttä
120′
🟥 Andreas Helmersen
120′
🟨 Andreas Helmersen
121′
❌ J. Hauge
penalty missed
4–1 B. Dia ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ S. Fet 4–2
L. Tchaouna ❌
penalty missed
124′
125′
⚽ S. Sørli 4–3
126′
⚽ B. Moe 4–4
T. Noslin ❌
penalty missed
127′
5–4 M. Guendouzi ⚽
128′
129′
❌ P. Berg
penalty missed
V. Castellanos ❌
penalty missed
130′
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Lazio

4-2-3-1
35 C. Mandas G
29 M. Lazzari D
34 Mario Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
6 N. Rovella M
8 M. Guendouzi M
18 G. Isaksen M
9 Pedro M
10 M. Zaccagni M
11 V. Castellanos F
Bench (10)
30 Nuno Tavares
19 B. Dia
20 L. Tchaouna
5 M. Vecino
14 T. Noslin
23 E. Hysaj
94 I. Provedel
2 S. Gigot
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
55 A. Furlanetto

Coach: M. Baroni

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
20 F. Sjøvold D
4 O. Bjørtuft D
6 J. Gundersen D
15 F. Bjørkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
14 U. Saltnes M
11 O. Blomberg F
9 K. Høgh F
23 J. Hauge F
Bench (11)
19 S. Fet
25 I. Määttä
21 A. Helmersen
18 B. Moe
27 S. Sørli
95 J. Kjær
8 S. Auklend
2 V. Nielsen
44 M. Brøndbo
77 M. Hansen
1 J. Faye Lund

Coach: K. Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.