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Serie A

Referee: F Maresca

Bologna

T S U U T

0–1

Full-time

Atalanta

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 39%

32%

46%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

61%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

61%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 12. · Atalanta 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	30	20	6	4	+27	66
2	Napoli	30	19	6	5	+31	63
3	Inter	29	17	9	3	+38	60
4	Juventus	30	17	8	5	+21	59
5	Roma	30	15	6	9	+15	51
6	Lazio	30	14	7	9	+13	49
7	Atalanta	28	13	9	6	+19	48
8	Fiorentina	29	14	5	10	+10	47
9	Sassuolo	30	11	10	9	+6	43
10	Verona	30	11	9	10	+8	42
11	Torino	29	9	8	12	+4	35
12	Bologna	28	9	6	13	-11	33
13	Empoli	30	8	9	13	-14	33
14	Udinese	28	6	12	10	-10	30
15	Sampdoria	30	8	5	17	-12	29
16	Spezia	30	8	5	17	-23	29
17	Cagliari	30	5	10	15	-26	25
18	Genoa	30	2	16	12	-24	22
19	Venezia	29	5	7	17	-29	22
20	Salernitana	28	3	7	18	-43	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	10	3	2	+23	33
2	Roma	16	9	4	3	+9	31
3	Milan	15	9	3	3	+11	30
4	Juventus	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Fiorentina	14	9	2	3	+16	29
6	Napoli	15	9	2	4	+14	29
7	Lazio	14	8	4	2	+15	28
8	Verona	15	8	2	5	+11	26
9	Torino	15	7	4	4	+11	25
10	Bologna	14	6	3	5	+1	21
11	Sassuolo	15	5	5	5	+0	20
12	Udinese	14	4	7	3	-2	19
13	Atalanta	14	4	6	4	+6	18
14	Spezia	14	4	3	7	-2	15
15	Sampdoria	15	4	3	8	-5	15
16	Cagliari	15	2	6	7	-10	12
17	Empoli	15	3	3	9	-15	12
18	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-9	11
19	Venezia	15	2	4	9	-15	10
20	Salernitana	14	1	5	8	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	15	11	3	1	+16	36
2	Napoli	15	10	4	1	+17	34
3	Atalanta	14	9	3	2	+13	30
4	Juventus	15	8	5	2	+10	29
5	Inter	14	7	6	1	+15	27
6	Sassuolo	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Empoli	15	5	6	4	+1	21
8	Lazio	16	6	3	7	-2	21
9	Roma	14	6	2	6	+6	20
10	Fiorentina	15	5	3	7	-6	18
11	Verona	15	3	7	5	-3	16
12	Sampdoria	15	4	2	9	-7	14
13	Spezia	16	4	2	10	-21	14
14	Cagliari	15	3	4	8	-16	13
15	Bologna	14	3	3	8	-12	12
16	Venezia	14	3	3	8	-14	12
17	Udinese	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-15	11
19	Torino	14	2	4	8	-7	10
20	Salernitana	14	2	2	10	-24	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.