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Champions League
Referee: R Saggi
Bologna
T U T U U
0–0
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,17 xG 0,87
48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bologna Shakhtar Donetsk
Stefan Posch 🟨
2′
4′
❌ Georgiy Sudakov
penalty missed
12′
🟨 Valeriy Bondar
35′
🔁 Newerton
↦ D. Sikan
41′
🔁 Vinícius Tobias
↦ Y. Konoplia
Half-time 0–0
Santiago Castro 🟨
58′
S. Iling-Junior 🔁
↦ R. Orsolini
65′
T. Pobega 🔁
↦ N. Moro
65′
T. Dallinga 🔁
↦ S. Castro
65′
70′
🟨 Vinícius Tobias
Juan Miranda 🔁
↦ C. Lykogiannis
78′
K. Urbański 🔁
↦ G. Fabbian
78′
79′
🔁 Marlon Gomes
↦ H. Sudakov
79′
🔁 L. Traoré
↦ O. Zubkov
79′
🔁 T. Stepanenko
↦ A. Bondarenko
84′
🟨 Taras Stepanenko
88′
🟨 Marlon Gomes
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bologna

4-3-3
1 Ł. Skorupski G
3 S. Posch D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
80 G. Fabbian M
8 R. Freuler M
6 N. Moro M
7 R. Orsolini F
9 S. Castro F
11 D. Ndoye F
Bench (12)
14 S. Iling-Junior
18 T. Pobega
24 T. Dallinga
33 Juan Miranda
82 K. Urbański
2 E. Holm
20 M. Aebischer
5 M. Erlić
16 T. Corazza
21 J. Odgaard
34 F. Ravaglia
15 N. Casale

Coach: V. Italiano

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-2-3-1
31 D. Riznyk G
26 Y. Konoplia D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 Pedro Henrique D
21 A. Bondarenko M
8 D. Kryskiv M
11 O. Zubkov M
10 H. Sudakov M
7 Eguinaldo M
14 D. Sikan F
Bench (12)
39 Newerton
17 Vinícius Tobias
30 Marlon Gomes
2 L. Traoré
6 T. Stepanenko
16 I. Azarovi
9 M. Shved
29 Y. Nazaryna
38 Pedrinho
4 B. Franjić
18 A. Ghram
72 K. Fesiun

Coach: M. Pusic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.