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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Chelsea

S S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Man City

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

2,7

2,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,01 xG 0,77

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
4	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
5	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
7	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
8	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
9	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
10	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
11	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
13	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
14	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
15	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
16	Everton	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
3	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
4	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
6	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
7	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
8	Everton	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
3	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
4	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
5	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
6	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
7	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
8	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.