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Coppa Italia
Referee: D Minelli
Udinese
S T T T T
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Udinese Catanzaro
1–0 S. Lovrić
F. Thauvin
9′
12′
J. Vandeputte 1–1
D. Sounas
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Beto
J. Zemura
49′
A. Masina 🟨
51′
3–1 F. Thauvin
64′
65′
🔁 A. Curcio
↦ T. Biasci
A. Guessand 🔁
↦ A. Masina
66′
66′
🔁 L. Verna
↦ D. Sounas
66′
🔁 L. D'Andrea
↦ E. Brignola
João Ferreira 🔁
↦ F. Ebosele
67′
H. Kamara 🔁
↦ J. Zemura
67′
L. Lucca 🔁
↦ Beto
73′
80′
🔁 M. Pompetti
↦ S. Pontisso
80′
🔁 A. Oliveri
↦ D. Veroli
M. Aké 🔁
↦ F. Thauvin
88′
4–1 L. Lucca
Oier Zarraga
93′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Udinese

1 M. Silvestri
27 C. Kabasele
3 A. Masina
29 J. Bijol
33 J. Zemura
2 F. Ebosele
26 F. Thauvin
11 Walace
4 S. Lovrić
6 Oier Zarraga
9 Beto
Bench (14)
5 A. Guessand
13 João Ferreira
12 H. Kamara
17 L. Lucca
15 M. Aké
71 B. Žunec
21 E. Camara
14 J. Abankwah
99 E. Piana
20 Vivaldo Semedo
7 I. Success
79 D. Pejičić
83 S. Nwachukwu
93 D. Padelli

Coach: A. Sottil

Catanzaro

1 A. Fulignati
23 N. Brighenti
92 M. Šitum
14 S. Scognamillo
72 D. Veroli
24 D. Sounas
27 J. Vandeputte
20 S. Pontisso
18 A. Ghion
28 T. Biasci
17 E. Brignola
Bench (11)
10 A. Curcio
8 L. Verna
7 L. D'Andrea
21 M. Pompetti
33 A. Oliveri
25 F. Bombagi
16 A. Sala
5 D. Krastev
6 N. Welbeck
77 P. Katseris
22 E. Borrelli

Coach: V. Vivarini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Minelli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.