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Serie A
Referee: M Serra
Udinese
T U U U T
1–1
Full-time
Empoli
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
27%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
60%
27%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Udinese 8. · Empoli 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 15 13 2 0 +25 41
2 Milan 16 11 3 2 +15 36
3 Juventus 16 10 4 2 +18 34
4 Lazio 16 9 3 4 +14 30
5 Inter 15 10 0 5 +12 30
6 Roma 16 9 3 4 +5 30
7 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 +7 28
8 Udinese 15 6 6 3 +7 24
9 Torino 16 6 4 6 -1 22
10 Fiorentina 16 5 5 6 -2 20
11 Bologna 16 5 4 7 -6 19
12 Lecce 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
14 Monza 16 5 2 9 -6 17
15 Empoli 15 4 5 6 -7 17
16 Sassuolo 16 4 4 8 -8 16
17 Spezia 16 3 5 8 -12 14
18 Sampdoria 16 2 3 11 -20 9
19 Cremonese 16 0 7 9 -16 7
20 Verona 16 1 3 12 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Empoli
3′
T. Baldanzi 0–1
F. Caputo
18′
🟨 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Half-time 0–1
Walace 🟨
46′
61′
🟨 Francesco Caputo
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ T. Arslan
62′
1–1 R. Pereyra
D. Udogie
70′
71′
🔁 F. Bandinelli
↦ R. Marin
J. Makengo 🔁
↦ S. Lovrić
72′
72′
🔁 N. Bajrami
↦ M. Satriano
79′
🟨 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
79′
🟥 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
I. Nestorovski 🔁
↦ Beto
81′
F. Ebosele 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
82′
K. Ehizibue 🔁
↦ D. Udogie
82′
82′
🔁 N. Cambiaghi
↦ F. Caputo
83′
🔁 L. Cacace
↦ T. Baldanzi
92′
🔁 T. Ebuehi
↦ P. Stojanović
Ilija Nestorovski 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
18 N. Pérez D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
23 E. Ebosse D
37 R. Pereyra M
4 S. Lovrić M
11 Walace M
5 T. Arslan M
13 D. Udogie M
9 Beto F
7 I. Success F
Bench (14)
24 L. Samardžić
6 J. Makengo
30 I. Nestorovski
2 F. Ebosele
19 K. Ehizibue
67 A. Guessand
99 E. Piana
20 D. Padelli
80 S. Pafundi
15 Leonardo Buta
39 Vivaldo Semedo
14 J. Abankwah
29 J. Bijol
8 M. Jajalo

Coach: A. Sottil

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
30 P. Stojanović D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
18 R. Marin M
5 A. Grassi M
11 J. Akpa Akpro M
35 T. Baldanzi M
19 F. Caputo F
9 M. Satriano F
Bench (14)
25 F. Bandinelli
10 N. Bajrami
28 N. Cambiaghi
3 L. Cacace
24 T. Ebuehi
1 S. Perisan
6 K. De Winter
17 E. Ekong
14 M. Pjaca
22 S. Ujkani
8 L. Henderson
21 J. Fazzini
4 S. Walukiewicz
20 D. Degli Innocenti

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U ✓
3,96
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Serra · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.