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Serie A

Referee: A Giua

Roma

U U S U S

2–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 44%

53%

35%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

41%

47%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

59%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 9

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roma 7. · Fiorentina 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	18	15	2	1	+30	47
2	Milan	18	11	5	2	+15	38
3	Juventus	18	11	4	3	+15	37
4	Inter	18	12	1	5	+14	37
5	Lazio	18	10	4	4	+16	34
6	Atalanta	18	10	4	4	+14	34
7	Roma	17	9	4	4	+5	31
8	Udinese	18	6	7	5	+5	25
9	Fiorentina	17	6	5	6	-1	23
10	Torino	18	6	5	7	-2	23
11	Bologna	18	6	4	8	-6	22
12	Monza	18	6	3	9	-5	21
13	Lecce	18	4	8	6	-2	20
14	Empoli	17	4	7	6	-7	19
15	Spezia	18	4	6	8	-11	18
16	Salernitana	18	4	6	8	-12	18
17	Sassuolo	18	4	4	10	-11	16
18	Verona	18	2	3	13	-16	9
19	Sampdoria	17	2	3	12	-22	9
20	Cremonese	18	0	7	11	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Inter	9	8	0	1	+17	24
3	Juventus	9	7	2	0	+18	23
4	Milan	9	7	1	1	+11	22
5	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Bologna	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Fiorentina	9	4	3	2	+0	15
8	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+6	14
9	Udinese	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	Monza	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Roma	8	4	1	3	+3	13
12	Salernitana	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	Spezia	9	2	6	1	+1	12
14	Torino	9	3	3	3	+1	12
15	Sassuolo	9	3	2	4	+1	11
16	Lecce	9	2	5	2	+0	11
17	Empoli	8	3	2	3	-1	11
18	Verona	9	2	0	7	-7	6
19	Cremonese	9	0	3	6	-11	3
20	Sampdoria	9	0	2	7	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Atalanta	9	6	2	1	+8	20
3	Roma	9	5	3	1	+2	18
4	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Milan	9	4	4	1	+4	16
6	Juventus	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Inter	9	4	1	4	-3	13
8	Udinese	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Torino	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Lecce	9	2	3	4	-2	9
11	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Empoli	9	1	5	3	-6	8
13	Monza	9	2	2	5	-8	8
14	Sampdoria	8	2	1	5	-9	7
15	Bologna	9	2	1	6	-11	7
16	Spezia	9	2	0	7	-12	6
17	Salernitana	9	1	3	5	-15	6
18	Sassuolo	9	1	2	6	-12	5
19	Cremonese	9	0	4	5	-8	4
20	Verona	9	0	3	6	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.