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Coppa Italia

Referee: E Feliciani

Roma

T U U S U

1–0

Full-time

Genoa

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

25 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

16 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

4 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Bari	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Monza	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Parma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Modena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
21	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bari	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Bari	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Parma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Modena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.