Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Juventus
Inter
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +22 | 35 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +17 | 27 |
| 4 |
Atalanta
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 25 |
| 6 |
Inter
|
12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | +8 | 24 |
| 7 |
Udinese
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 8 |
Juventus
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 9 |
Salernitana
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 |
Fiorentina
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |
Sassuolo
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |
Empoli
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 15 |
Monza
|
13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 |
Lecce
|
13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 18 |
Cremonese
|
13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 6 |
| 20 |
Verona
|
13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -15 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
W. Szczęsny
G
Bremer
D
N. Fagioli
M
M. Locatelli
M
A. Rabiot
M
F. Kostić
M
F. Miretti
F
A. Milik
F
Coach: M. Allegri
A. Onana
G
M. Škriniar
D
S. de Vrij
D
D. Dumfries
M
N. Barella
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Mkhitaryan
M
F. Dimarco
M
Lautaro Martínez
F
E. Džeko
F
Coach: S. Inzaghi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Juventus
Paris SG
Lecce
Juventus
Benfica
Juventus
Juventus
Empoli
Torino
Juventus
D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.