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La Liga

Referee: Juan Pulido

Ath Madrid

U S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Espanol

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

58%

17%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

27 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

11 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

12 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Espanol 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	1	1	+27	34
2	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+19	32
3	Ath Madrid	12	7	2	3	+8	23
4	Betis	12	7	2	3	+8	23
5	Osasuna	13	7	2	4	+3	23
6	Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+1	22
7	Ath Bilbao	13	6	3	4	+7	21
8	Villarreal	12	5	3	4	+6	18
9	Vallecano	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Valladolid	13	5	2	6	-5	17
11	Valencia	12	4	3	5	+4	15
12	Getafe	13	3	5	5	-7	14
13	Girona	13	3	4	6	-3	13
14	Mallorca	12	3	4	5	-3	13
15	Almeria	13	4	1	8	-7	13
16	Espanol	12	2	5	5	-5	11
17	Celta	13	3	2	8	-12	11
18	Cadiz	13	2	5	6	-16	11
19	Sevilla	12	2	4	6	-8	10
20	Elche	13	0	4	9	-20	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	Betis	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Osasuna	7	5	0	2	+4	15
4	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Ath Bilbao	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Valladolid	7	4	1	2	+2	13
7	Almeria	6	4	0	2	+4	12
8	Girona	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+7	10
10	Valencia	7	3	1	3	+5	10
11	Vallecano	5	3	1	1	+4	10
12	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	-2	10
13	Celta	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Ath Madrid	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-8	6
17	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Elche	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+10	15
4	Sociedad	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Betis	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-1	8
10	Osasuna	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Getafe	6	2	2	2	-3	8
12	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Espanol	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Cadiz	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Celta	6	1	0	5	-11	3
18	Girona	6	0	2	4	-4	2
19	Elche	7	0	2	5	-12	2
20	Almeria	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.