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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
St. Gilloise
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Westerlo
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 62%
85%
38%
Points per game
2,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
77%
62%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
3,1
3,8
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
25 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
12 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Westerlo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 13 1 0 +30 40
2 St. Gilloise 13 11 1 1 +16 34
3 Antwerp 14 11 0 3 +14 33
4 Club Brugge 15 10 1 4 +15 31
5 Gent 14 8 2 4 +11 26
6 St Truiden 17 7 5 5 +0 26
7 Anderlecht 15 7 1 7 +9 22
8 Cercle Brugge 14 6 4 4 +3 22
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 6 4 6 -1 22
10 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
11 Standard 13 7 0 6 +1 21
12 Mechelen 17 5 3 9 -7 18
13 Westerlo 13 5 2 6 -5 17
14 Kortrijk 16 4 3 9 -12 15
15 Oostende 16 4 3 9 -13 15
16 Waregem 17 4 3 10 -15 15
17 Eupen 17 5 0 12 -16 15
18 Seraing 16 3 2 11 -12 11
19 Seraing United 16 3 2 11 -12 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Westerlo
27′
🟨 Mathias Fixelles
Loic Lapoussin 🟨
41′
45′
L. Foster 0–1
H. Akbunar
Half-time 0–1
57′
🔁 T. Van den Keybus
↦ H. Akbunar
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
63′
Cameron Puertas 🔁
↦ L. Amani
64′
S. Adingra 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
64′
70′
🟨 Thomas Van den Keybus
75′
🔁 Igor Vetokele
↦ K. Vaesen
75′
🔁 T. Dierckx
↦ E. Jordanov
G. François 🔁
↦ S. Van der Heyden
78′
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
78′
Teddy Teuma 🟨
84′
84′
🔁 Lucas Mineiro
↦ M. Fixelles
R. Sykes 🔁
↦ T. Teuma
87′
92′
🟨 Tuur Dierckx
1–1 G. Nilsson
R. Sykes
92′
Senne Lynen 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
13 D. Vanzeir F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
23 Cameron Puertas
11 S. Adingra
19 G. François
29 G. Nilsson
26 R. Sykes
21 L. Pirard
6 O. El Azzouzi

Coach: K. Geraerts

Westerlo

5-3-2
1 S. Bolat G
32 E. Jordanov D
22 B. Reynolds D
23 R. Seigers D
24 R. Tagir D
11 M. De Cuyper D
8 N. Madsen M
35 H. Akbunar M
4 M. Fixelles M
14 K. Vaesen F
9 L. Foster F
Bench (7)
39 T. Van den Keybus
25 Igor Vetokele
55 T. Dierckx
6 Lucas Mineiro
17 M. Gümüşkaya
2 P. Perdichizzi
20 N. Gillekens

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U ✓
4,13
B
5,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.