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Allsvenskan
Referee: F Klitte
AIK
S S T T S
0–1
Full-time
Elfsborg
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 45%
48%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
48%
55%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
59%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 20
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 4. · Elfsborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 29 18 9 2 +32 63
2 Djurgarden 29 17 6 6 +31 57
3 Hammarby 29 15 8 6 +31 53
4 AIK 29 14 8 7 +10 50
5 Kalmar 29 14 6 9 +10 48
6 Elfsborg 29 12 10 7 +19 46
7 Malmo FF 29 13 6 10 +10 45
8 Goteborg 29 13 3 13 +0 42
9 Mjallby 29 10 10 9 -1 40
10 Varnamo 29 9 10 10 -10 37
11 Sirius 29 9 8 12 -10 35
12 Norrkoping 29 8 9 12 -2 33
13 Degerfors 29 7 9 13 -17 30
14 Varberg 29 7 7 15 -27 28
15 Helsingborg 29 4 5 20 -28 17
16 Sundsvall 29 4 2 23 -48 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Elfsborg
John Guidetti 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
Sebastian Larsson 🟨
52′
56′
🔁 P. Frick
↦ M. Baidoo
56′
🔁 J. Ondrejka
↦ J. Okkels
John Guidetti 🟨
64′
John Guidetti 🟥
64′
65′
🔁 A. Qasem
↦ A. Bernhardsson
Mikael Lustig 🟨
67′
N. Bahoui 🔁
↦ T. Ayari
71′
Z. Elbouzedi 🔁
↦ V. Thill
71′
79′
🟨 Jacob Ondrejka
79′
J. Ondrejka 0–1
A. Qasem
80′
🔁 K. Holmén
↦ E. Boateng
80′
🔁 O. Aga
↦ S. Guðjohnsen
81′
🟨 Oscar Aga
C. Shichenje 🔁
↦ B. Hussein
84′
E. Ring 🔁
↦ A. Björnström
84′
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos 🟨
91′
Zachary Elbouzedi 🟨
98′
P. Karlsson 🔁
↦ S. Papagiannopoulos
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

AIK

3-1-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
33 M. Lustig D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
12 A. Björnström D
7 S. Larsson M
8 B. Hussein M
26 Y. Ayari M
45 T. Ayari M
11 J. Guidetti F
9 N. Stefanelli F
17 V. Thill M
Bench (7)
10 N. Bahoui
20 Z. Elbouzedi
29 C. Shichenje
34 E. Ring
3 P. Karlsson
24 J. Ceesay
23 B. Janošević

Coach: H. Goitom

Elfsborg

4-3-3
31 T. Rönning G
23 N. Hult D
24 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
15 L. Väisänen D
26 E. Boateng M
13 M. Baidoo M
28 N. Söderberg M
11 S. Guðjohnsen F
19 J. Okkels F
12 A. Bernhardsson F
Bench (7)
17 P. Frick
7 J. Ondrejka
18 A. Qasem
22 K. Holmén
14 O. Aga
1 A. Rahm
5 M. Jarjué

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.