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Champions League
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Juventus
T S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Paris SG
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 90%
80%
100%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
1,6
2,8
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Sep -22 Paris SG – Juventus 2–1

Match report

Juventus Paris SG
13′
⚽ K. Mbappé 0–1
L. Messi
Federico Gatti 🟨
14′
21′
🔁 Renato Sanches
↦ Fabián Ruiz
1–1 L. Bonucci ⚽
J. Cuadrado
39′
Half-time 1–1
Arkadiusz Milik 🟨
47′
68′
🔁 Nuno Mendes
↦ Juan Bernat
68′
🔁 H. Ekitike
↦ Carlos Soler
69′
⚽ Nuno Mendes 1–2
K. Mbappé
F. Chiesa 🔁
↦ F. Miretti
74′
Nicolò Fagioli 🟨
76′
85′
🟨 Marco Verratti
M. Soulé 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
85′
E. Barrenechea 🔁
↦ J. Cuadrado
88′
T. Barbieri 🔁
↦ N. Fagioli
88′
88′
🔁 Danilo Pereira
↦ M. Verratti
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-1-1
1 W. Szczęsny G
15 F. Gatti D
19 L. Bonucci D
12 Alex Sandro D
11 J. Cuadrado M
44 N. Fagioli M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
17 F. Kostić M
20 F. Miretti F
14 A. Milik F
Bench (7)
7 F. Chiesa
30 M. Soulé
45 E. Barrenechea
42 T. Barbieri
23 C. Pinsoglio
36 M. Perin
24 D. Rugani

Coach: M. Allegri

Paris SG

4-3-1-2
99 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
4 Sergio Ramos D
5 Marquinhos D
14 Juan Bernat D
8 Fabián Ruiz M
6 M. Verratti M
17 Vitinha M
28 Carlos Soler M
30 L. Messi F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (10)
18 Renato Sanches
25 Nuno Mendes
44 H. Ekitike
15 Danilo Pereira
90 A. Letellier
31 E. Bitshiabu
26 N. Mukiele
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
16 Sergio Rico
19 Pablo Sarabia

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.