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Champions League
Referee: A Ekberg
Inter
S S U S S
4–0
Full-time
Plzen
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,0
This season — Champions League · 4/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
25%
80%
Both score Ø 43%
25%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
22 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -22 Plzen – Inter 0–2

Match report

Inter Plzen
1–0 H. Mkhitaryan ⚽
A. Bastoni
35′
2–0 E. Džeko ⚽
F. Dimarco
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Jhon Mosquera
46′
🔁 L. Holík
↦ E. Jirka
46′
🔁 T. Chorý
↦ F. Bassey
49′
🟨 Luděk Pernica
51′
🔁 V. Jemelka
↦ M. Tijani
3–0 E. Džeko ⚽
Lautaro Martínez
66′
70′
🔁 M. N'Diaye
↦ L. Kalvach
J. Correa 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
71′
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
71′
R. Gosens 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
77′
R. Lukaku 🔁
↦ Lautaro Martínez
83′
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
83′
84′
🔁 V. Pilař
↦ A. Vlkanova
4–0 R. Lukaku ⚽
J. Correa
87′
Full-time 4–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Ekberg · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.