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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Benfica
U S U U S
4–3
Full-time
Juventus
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -22 Juventus – Benfica 1–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.