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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Godinho

Sp Braga

S S T S S

0–1

Full-time

Casa Pia

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Casa Pia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 64%

73%

55%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

55%

27%

Both score Ø 27%

27%

Average goals

3,4

1,7

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,9

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

28 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 3. · Casa Pia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	10	1	0	+24	31
2	Porto	12	8	2	2	+19	26
3	Sp Braga	11	8	1	2	+17	25
4	Sp Lisbon	12	7	1	4	+10	22
5	Casa Pia	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Guimaraes	12	6	2	4	+0	20
7	Portimonense	12	6	1	5	-1	19
8	Arouca	12	5	4	3	-4	19
9	Boavista	12	5	2	5	-6	17
10	Estoril	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	Rio Ave	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Chaves	11	4	3	4	-4	15
13	Vizela	12	3	3	6	-4	12
14	Famalicao	11	3	1	7	-6	10
15	Santa Clara	11	2	3	6	-4	9
16	Gil Vicente	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Maritimo	11	1	2	8	-18	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	12	0	2	10	-17	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Porto	6	5	0	1	+16	15
3	Sp Lisbon	6	5	0	1	+12	15
4	Guimaraes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Rio Ave	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Boavista	6	3	2	1	+0	11
7	Sp Braga	5	3	1	1	+7	10
8	Casa Pia	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Portimonense	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Arouca	6	3	1	2	-2	10
11	Famalicao	5	3	0	2	+2	9
12	Chaves	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Santa Clara	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Estoril	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Gil Vicente	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Vizela	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Maritimo	5	0	1	4	-4	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	6	5	0	1	+10	15
2	Benfica	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Estoril	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Porto	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Casa Pia	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Portimonense	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Arouca	6	2	3	1	-2	9
8	Chaves	6	3	0	3	-5	9
9	Vizela	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Sp Lisbon	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Guimaraes	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Maritimo	6	1	1	4	-14	4
15	Santa Clara	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Rio Ave	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-8	1
18	Famalicao	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.