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Serie A

Referee: L Marinelli

Sampdoria

U T U S T

0–2

Full-time

Fiorentina

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 17%

25%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 19. · Fiorentina 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	11	2	0	+22	35
2	Milan	13	9	2	2	+13	29
3	Atalanta	13	8	3	2	+9	27
4	Roma	12	8	1	3	+5	25
5	Lazio	12	7	3	2	+16	24
6	Inter	12	8	0	4	+8	24
7	Udinese	13	6	5	2	+8	23
8	Juventus	12	6	4	2	+11	22
9	Salernitana	13	4	5	4	-1	17
10	Torino	13	5	2	6	-3	17
11	Bologna	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	Sassuolo	13	4	3	6	-4	15
13	Empoli	13	3	5	5	-7	14
14	Fiorentina	12	3	4	5	-4	13
15	Monza	12	3	1	8	-10	10
16	Lecce	13	1	6	6	-6	9
17	Spezia	13	2	3	8	-13	9
18	Cremonese	13	0	6	7	-13	6
19	Sampdoria	12	1	3	8	-15	6
20	Verona	12	1	2	9	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+12	16
3	Inter	6	5	0	1	+10	15
4	Juventus	6	4	2	0	+12	14
5	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Udinese	7	3	3	1	+6	12
7	Bologna	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Salernitana	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Atalanta	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Sassuolo	6	3	1	2	+4	10
11	Roma	5	3	0	2	+3	9
12	Spezia	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Torino	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Fiorentina	6	2	2	2	-2	8
15	Empoli	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Monza	6	2	0	4	-2	6
17	Lecce	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Verona	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Cremonese	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Atalanta	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Roma	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Lazio	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Milan	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Udinese	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Inter	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Torino	7	3	0	4	-3	9
9	Juventus	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-4	6
11	Salernitana	6	1	3	2	-5	6
12	Fiorentina	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Lecce	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Sassuolo	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Cremonese	7	0	4	3	-4	4
16	Bologna	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Monza	6	1	1	4	-8	4
18	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Verona	6	0	2	4	-6	2
20	Spezia	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.