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Serie A

Referee: D Orsato

Roma

S T S S S

0–1

Full-time

Lazio

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 63%

67%

58%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 42%

42%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,9

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

8 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 4. · Lazio 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	11	2	0	+22	35
2	Milan	13	9	2	2	+13	29
3	Atalanta	13	8	3	2	+9	27
4	Roma	12	8	1	3	+5	25
5	Lazio	12	7	3	2	+16	24
6	Inter	12	8	0	4	+8	24
7	Udinese	13	6	5	2	+8	23
8	Juventus	12	6	4	2	+11	22
9	Salernitana	13	4	5	4	-1	17
10	Torino	13	5	2	6	-3	17
11	Fiorentina	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Bologna	13	4	4	5	-3	16
13	Sassuolo	13	4	3	6	-4	15
14	Empoli	13	3	5	5	-7	14
15	Monza	13	4	1	8	-8	13
16	Lecce	13	1	6	6	-6	9
17	Spezia	13	2	3	8	-13	9
18	Cremonese	13	0	6	7	-13	6
19	Sampdoria	13	1	3	9	-17	6
20	Verona	13	1	2	10	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+12	16
3	Inter	6	5	0	1	+10	15
4	Juventus	6	4	2	0	+12	14
5	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Udinese	7	3	3	1	+6	12
7	Bologna	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Salernitana	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Atalanta	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Sassuolo	6	3	1	2	+4	10
11	Roma	5	3	0	2	+3	9
12	Spezia	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Monza	7	3	0	4	+0	9
14	Torino	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Fiorentina	6	2	2	2	-2	8
16	Empoli	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Lecce	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Verona	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Sampdoria	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Cremonese	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Atalanta	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Roma	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Lazio	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Milan	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Udinese	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Inter	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Torino	7	3	0	4	-3	9
9	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Juventus	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	Salernitana	6	1	3	2	-5	6
13	Lecce	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Sassuolo	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Cremonese	7	0	4	3	-4	4
16	Bologna	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Monza	6	1	1	4	-8	4
18	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Verona	7	0	2	5	-8	2
20	Spezia	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.