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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Maritimo
T U T U S
0–0
Full-time
Famalicao
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
9%
27%
Points per game
0,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
64%
27%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
2,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 17. · Famalicao 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 11 10 1 0 +24 31
2 Porto 12 8 2 2 +19 26
3 Sp Braga 11 8 1 2 +17 25
4 Sp Lisbon 12 7 1 4 +10 22
5 Casa Pia 11 6 2 3 +3 20
6 Guimaraes 12 6 2 4 +0 20
7 Portimonense 12 6 1 5 -1 19
8 Arouca 12 5 4 3 -4 19
9 Boavista 12 5 2 5 -6 17
10 Estoril 11 4 4 3 +2 16
11 Rio Ave 12 4 3 5 -3 15
12 Chaves 11 4 3 4 -4 15
13 Vizela 12 3 3 6 -4 12
14 Famalicao 11 3 1 7 -6 10
15 Santa Clara 11 2 3 6 -4 9
16 Gil Vicente 12 2 3 7 -8 9
17 Maritimo 11 1 2 8 -18 5
18 Pacos Ferreira 12 0 2 10 -17 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Famalicao
Léo 🟨
30′
39′
🔁 Iván Jaime
↦ J. Kadile
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Z. Youssouf
↦ Gustavo Assunção
49′
🟨 Ivo Rodrigues
57′
🔁 J. Cádiz
↦ Álex Millán
J. Soñora 🔁
↦ Bruno Xadas
61′
André Vidigal 🟨
62′
J. Tagueu 🔁
↦ C. Ramírez
69′
Edgar Costa 🔁
↦ Diogo Mendes
70′
71′
🟨 Alexandre Penetra
80′
🔁 Martín Aguirregabiria
↦ Alexandre Penetra
80′
🔁 André Simões
↦ Pelé
P. Liza 🔁
↦ Cláudio Winck
84′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Maritimo

3-4-1-2
59 M. Trmal G
4 Matheus Costa D
5 Zainadine Júnior D
66 Léo Andrade D
2 Cláudio Winck M
16 Diogo Mendes M
21 João Afonso M
94 Vítor Costa M
23 Bruno Xadas F
7 André Vidigal F
11 C. Ramírez F
Bench (9)
8 J. Soñora
95 J. Tagueu
12 Edgar Costa
36 P. Liza
20 Miguel Sousa
9 Pablo Moreno
34 L. Vega
25 Gonçalo Cardoso
1 Miguel Silva

Coach: João Henriques

Famalicao

4-3-3
31 Luíz Júnior G
6 Alexandre Penetra D
15 Riccieli D
4 E. Mihaj D
74 Francisco Moura D
12 Gustavo Assunção M
25 Pelé M
7 Ivo Rodrigues M
19 J. Rodríguez F
9 Álex Millán F
14 J. Kadile F
Bench (9)
10 Iván Jaime
28 Z. Youssouf
29 J. Cádiz
32 Martín Aguirregabiria
8 André Simões
5 Rúben Lima
1 I. Zlobin
2 Diogo Queirós
17 Rui Fonte

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,16
B
2,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.