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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Varnamo

U T S U U

1–4

Full-time

Goteborg

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

31%

45%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

52%

48%

Both score Ø 52%

59%

45%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 10. · Goteborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	29	18	9	2	+32	63
2	Djurgarden	29	17	6	6	+31	57
3	Hammarby	29	15	8	6	+31	53
4	AIK	29	14	8	7	+10	50
5	Kalmar	29	14	6	9	+10	48
6	Elfsborg	29	12	10	7	+19	46
7	Malmo FF	29	13	6	10	+10	45
8	Goteborg	29	13	3	13	+0	42
9	Mjallby	29	10	10	9	-1	40
10	Varnamo	29	9	10	10	-10	37
11	Sirius	29	9	8	12	-10	35
12	Norrkoping	29	8	9	12	-2	33
13	Degerfors	29	7	9	13	-17	30
14	Varberg	29	7	7	15	-27	28
15	Helsingborg	29	4	5	20	-28	17
16	Sundsvall	29	4	2	23	-48	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	14	11	1	2	+28	34
2	Hammarby	15	9	5	1	+24	32
3	Hacken	14	9	3	2	+17	30
4	Elfsborg	15	8	5	2	+14	29
5	Kalmar	14	9	2	3	+9	29
6	AIK	14	8	4	2	+11	28
7	Malmo FF	14	8	3	3	+12	27
8	Goteborg	15	7	3	5	+1	24
9	Varnamo	14	5	6	3	+2	21
10	Mjallby	15	5	6	4	+1	21
11	Degerfors	15	5	6	4	-1	21
12	Sirius	14	6	2	6	+1	20
13	Norrkoping	15	5	4	6	+4	19
14	Varberg	15	4	5	6	-10	17
15	Sundsvall	15	4	0	11	-18	12
16	Helsingborg	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	15	9	6	0	+15	33
2	Djurgarden	15	6	5	4	+3	23
3	AIK	15	6	4	5	-1	22
4	Hammarby	14	6	3	5	+7	21
5	Kalmar	15	5	4	6	+1	19
6	Mjallby	14	5	4	5	-2	19
7	Goteborg	14	6	0	8	-1	18
8	Malmo FF	15	5	3	7	-2	18
9	Elfsborg	14	4	5	5	+5	17
10	Varnamo	15	4	4	7	-12	16
11	Sirius	15	3	6	6	-11	15
12	Norrkoping	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	Varberg	14	3	2	9	-17	11
14	Degerfors	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Helsingborg	15	2	2	11	-17	8
16	Sundsvall	14	0	2	12	-30	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.