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Serie A
Referee: M Fabbri
Verona
S T T U T
2–5
Full-time
Napoli
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Inter 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Torino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Spezia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
10 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Napoli
1–0 K. Lasagna
K. Günter
29′
37′
K. Kvaratskhelia 1–1
H. Lozano
Half-time 1–1
Martin Hongla 🟨
46′
48′
V. Osimhen 1–2
G. Di Lorenzo
2–2 T. Henry
M. Faraoni
48′
Bruno Amione 🟨
52′
54′
🟨 Victor Osimhen
55′
P. Zieliński 2–3
K. Kvaratskhelia
P. Retsos 🔁
↦ B. Amione
58′
R. Piccoli 🔁
↦ T. Henry
59′
65′
S. Lobotka 2–4
Mário Rui
A. Barák 🔁
↦ M. Hongla
67′
68′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
M. Đurić 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
72′
75′
🔁 A. Zerbin
↦ P. Zieliński
76′
🔁 M. Politano
↦ H. Lozano
79′
M. Politano 2–5
V. Osimhen
83′
🔁 M. Olivera
↦ Mário Rui
83′
🔁 A. Ounas
↦ V. Osimhen
85′
ℹ️ Adam Ounas
VAR: Goal cancelled
93′
🟨 Min-jae Kim
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Verona

3-5-2
1 L. Montipò G
27 P. Dawidowicz D
21 K. Günter D
2 B. Amione D
5 M. Faraoni M
61 A. Tamèze M
18 M. Hongla M
14 I. Ilić M
8 D. Lazović M
11 K. Lasagna F
9 T. Henry F
Bench (11)
45 P. Retsos
20 R. Piccoli
7 A. Barák
19 M. Đurić
24 F. Terracciano
77 I. Sulemana
72 A. Cortinovis
16 M. Chiesa
23 G. Magnani
42 D. Coppola
22 A. Berardi

Coach: G. Cioffi

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 A. Rrahmani D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
6 Mário Rui D
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
20 P. Zieliński M
11 H. Lozano F
9 V. Osimhen F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (11)
7 E. Elmas
23 A. Zerbin
21 M. Politano
17 M. Olivera
33 A. Ounas
5 Juan Jesus
12 D. Marfella
4 D. Demme
55 L. Østigård
30 S. Sirigu
59 A. Zanoli

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,46
U
3,58
B ✓
2,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.