Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Verona
Napoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Milan
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |
Atalanta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Fiorentina
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Inter
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Torino
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Spezia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Roma
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Cremonese
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 |
Bologna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Lecce
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Monza
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Empoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Salernitana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Udinese
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Sampdoria
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Montipò
G
P. Dawidowicz
D
M. Hongla
M
I. Ilić
M
Coach: G. Cioffi
A. Meret
G
G. Di Lorenzo
D
A. Rrahmani
D
Kim Min-Jae
D
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
S. Lobotka
M
P. Zieliński
M
V. Osimhen
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
F
Coach: L. Spalletti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Verona
Bari
Lazio
Verona
Verona
Torino
Verona
Milan
Cagliari
Verona
M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.