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Serie B

Empoli

S U T S T

2–1

Full-time

Lecce

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 46%

49%

43%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

46%

65%

Both score Ø 60%

54%

65%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

18 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 1. · Lecce 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	37	18	16	3	+32	70
2	Salernitana	37	18	12	7	+9	66
3	Monza	37	17	13	7	+20	64
4	Lecce	37	16	14	7	+22	62
5	Venezia	37	15	13	9	+14	58
6	Cittadella	37	15	11	11	+13	56
7	Chievo	37	13	14	10	+10	53
8	Brescia	37	14	11	12	+6	53
9	Spal	37	13	14	10	+1	53
10	Reggina	37	12	14	11	+1	50
11	Cremonese	37	12	12	13	+3	48
12	Frosinone	37	11	14	12	-8	47
13	Pisa	37	10	15	12	-6	45
14	Vicenza	37	10	15	12	-6	45
15	Ascoli	37	11	11	15	-8	44
16	Pordenone	37	9	15	13	-1	42
17	Cosenza	37	6	17	14	-16	35
18	Reggiana	37	9	7	21	-25	34
19	Pescara	37	7	11	19	-28	32
20	Virtus Entella	37	4	11	22	-33	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	19	11	6	2	+13	39
2	Empoli	18	10	8	0	+22	38
3	Monza	18	9	6	3	+13	33
4	Cittadella	18	9	6	3	+11	33
5	Venezia	19	10	3	6	+9	33
6	Chievo	18	9	5	4	+12	32
7	Brescia	19	9	5	5	+9	32
8	Ascoli	19	8	5	6	-1	29
9	Pisa	18	6	10	2	+6	28
10	Reggina	18	8	4	6	+2	28
11	Lecce	19	6	9	4	+8	27
12	Cremonese	19	7	6	6	+5	27
13	Spal	18	7	6	5	+5	27
14	Reggiana	19	6	5	8	-4	23
15	Pordenone	18	4	10	4	+6	22
16	Vicenza	18	4	9	5	-3	21
17	Frosinone	19	4	9	6	-5	21
18	Cosenza	19	3	9	7	-5	18
19	Pescara	18	4	5	9	-8	17
20	Virtus Entella	19	3	4	12	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	18	10	5	3	+14	35
2	Empoli	19	8	8	3	+10	32
3	Monza	19	8	7	4	+7	31
4	Salernitana	18	7	6	5	-4	27
5	Frosinone	18	7	5	6	-3	26
6	Spal	19	6	8	5	-4	26
7	Venezia	18	5	10	3	+5	25
8	Vicenza	19	6	6	7	-3	24
9	Cittadella	19	6	5	8	+2	23
10	Reggina	19	4	10	5	-1	22
11	Chievo	19	4	9	6	-2	21
12	Cremonese	18	5	6	7	-2	21
13	Brescia	18	5	6	7	-3	21
14	Pordenone	19	5	5	9	-7	20
15	Cosenza	18	3	8	7	-11	17
16	Pisa	19	4	5	10	-12	17
17	Ascoli	18	3	6	9	-7	15
18	Pescara	19	3	6	10	-20	15
19	Reggiana	18	3	2	13	-21	11
20	Virtus Entella	18	1	7	10	-15	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.