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Serie A
Referee: G Aureliano
Napoli
U S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Venezia
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Napoli Venezia
12′
🟨 Luca Fiordilino
Victor Osimhen 🟥
22′
30′
🟨 Mattia Caldara
E. Elmas 🔁
↦ P. Zieliński
35′
38′
🟨 Daan Heymans
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Tyronne Ebuehi
50′
🟨 Francesco Forte
51′
🔁 M. Svoboda
↦ T. Ebuehi
Fabián Ruiz 🟨
52′
61′
🟨 Pietro Ceccaroni
1–0 L. Insigne ⚽
62′
63′
🔁 T. Tessmann
↦ L. Fiordilino
63′
🔁 A. Sigurðsson
↦ F. Di Mariano
H. Lozano 🔁
↦ M. Politano
71′
G. Gaetano 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
72′
2–0 E. Elmas ⚽
72′
73′
🔁 N. Galazzi
↦ D. Peretz
74′
🔁 J. Dezi
↦ D. Heymans
75′
🟨 Tanner Tessmann
A. Petagna 🔁
↦ L. Insigne
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
44 K. Manolas D
6 Mário Rui D
26 K. Koulibaly D
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
20 P. Zieliński M
68 S. Lobotka M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
24 L. Insigne F
21 M. Politano F
9 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
7 E. Elmas
11 H. Lozano
70 G. Gaetano
37 A. Petagna
12 D. Marfella
59 A. Zanoli
5 Juan Jesus
25 D. Ospina
33 A. Ounas
2 K. Malcuit
13 A. Rrahmani
15 L. Palmiero

Coach: L. Spalletti

Venezia

4-3-3
1 N. Mäenpää G
3 C. Molinaro D
31 M. Caldara D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
22 T. Ebuehi D
42 D. Peretz M
16 L. Fiordilino M
18 D. Heymans M
20 F. Di Mariano F
9 F. Forte F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (10)
30 M. Svoboda
8 T. Tessmann
11 A. Sigurðsson
25 N. Galazzi
6 J. Dezi
34 Bruno
28 D. Schnegg
12 L. Lezzerini
19 B. Bjarkason
23 Ó. Karlsson

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
🔒
U
6,38
🔒
B
11,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,44
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,78
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.