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Serie A
Referee: Luca J Pairetto
Inter
T S U S S
0–0
Full-time
Sassuolo
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 48%
63%
32%
Points per game
2,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 48%
32%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 3. · Sassuolo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 19 17 2 0 +27 53
2 Napoli 19 14 2 3 +20 44
3 Inter 19 12 3 4 +17 39
4 Roma 20 9 6 5 +11 33
5 Lazio 19 9 5 5 +7 32
6 Milan 19 8 7 4 +6 31
7 Sampdoria 19 8 5 6 +9 29
8 Atalanta 19 8 4 7 +12 28
9 Parma 20 8 4 8 -5 28
10 Torino 20 6 9 5 +4 27
11 Fiorentina 19 6 8 5 +7 26
12 Sassuolo 19 6 7 6 -2 25
13 Cagliari 19 4 8 7 -8 20
14 Genoa 19 5 5 9 -10 20
15 Udinese 20 4 6 10 -8 18
16 Spal 19 4 5 10 -12 17
17 Empoli 19 4 4 11 -15 16
18 Bologna 19 2 7 10 -14 13
19 Chievo 19 1 8 10 -21 11
20 Frosinone 19 1 7 11 -25 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Sassuolo
32′
🟨 Stefano Sensi
Half-time 0–0
Marcelo Brozović 🟨
50′
51′
🟨 Rogério
R. Nainggolan 🔁
↦ João Mário
60′
62′
🔁 J. Boga
↦ F. Đuričić
73′
🔁 M. Bourabia
↦ A. Duncan
76′
🔁 F. Magnanelli
↦ S. Sensi
Lautaro Martínez 🔁
↦ M. Politano
81′
Borja Valero 🔁
↦ M. Vecino
82′
90′
🟨 Federico Peluso
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
18 K. Asamoah D
6 S. de Vrij D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
8 M. Vecino M
77 M. Brozović M
15 João Mário M
9 M. Icardi F
16 M. Politano F
Bench (10)
14 R. Nainggolan
10 Lautaro Martínez
20 Borja Valero
2 Š. Vrsaljko
5 R. Gagliardini
13 A. Ranocchia
23 João Miranda
27 D. Padelli
29 Dalbert Henrique
87 A. Candreva

Coach: L. Spalletti

Sassuolo

4-1-4-1
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
23 G. Magnani D
21 Pol Lirola D
6 Rogério M
27 K. Boateng M
9 F. Đuričić M
32 A. Duncan M
12 S. Sensi M
73 M. Locatelli M
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
20 J. Boga
68 M. Bourabia
4 F. Magnanelli
5 M. Lemos
10 A. Matri
28 G. Satalino
30 K. Babacar
31 G. Ferrari
39 C. Dell'Orco
79 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong
99 E. Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luca J Pairetto · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.