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Serie A

Referee: Claudio Gavillucci

Verona

T U S T T

1–2

Full-time

Inter

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

10%

80%

Points per game

0,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

70%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

30%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,6

2,0

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,6

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Verona 19. · Inter 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	10	1	0	+24	31
2	Juventus	11	9	1	1	+23	28
3	Lazio	11	9	1	1	+19	28
4	Inter	10	8	2	0	+13	26
5	Roma	10	8	0	2	+12	24
6	Sampdoria	10	6	2	2	+9	20
7	Fiorentina	11	5	1	5	+6	16
8	Milan	11	5	1	5	+0	16
9	Torino	11	4	4	3	-2	16
10	Atalanta	11	4	3	4	+3	15
11	Chievo	11	4	3	4	-5	15
12	Bologna	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Udinese	11	4	0	7	-4	12
14	Cagliari	11	3	0	8	-11	9
15	Crotone	11	2	3	6	-13	9
16	Spal	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-13	8
18	Genoa	11	1	3	7	-7	6
19	Verona	10	1	3	6	-16	6
20	Benevento	11	0	0	11	-25	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Sampdoria	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Inter	5	5	0	0	+8	15
4	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+13	13
5	Atalanta	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Roma	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Lazio	5	3	1	1	+8	10
8	Fiorentina	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Milan	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Udinese	6	3	0	3	+0	9
11	Torino	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Crotone	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Chievo	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Spal	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Cagliari	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Bologna	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Verona	5	1	1	3	-9	4
18	Sassuolo	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Benevento	6	0	0	6	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Napoli	6	6	0	0	+11	18
3	Juventus	5	4	1	0	+10	13
4	Roma	4	4	0	0	+8	12
5	Inter	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Bologna	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Chievo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Torino	6	2	2	2	-5	8
9	Fiorentina	6	2	0	4	+2	6
10	Milan	5	2	0	3	+0	6
11	Sassuolo	6	2	0	4	-9	6
12	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Udinese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Cagliari	6	1	0	5	-9	3
16	Atalanta	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Verona	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Spal	5	0	1	4	-8	1
19	Crotone	5	0	1	4	-11	1
20	Benevento	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.