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Europa League
Referee: G Kabakov
Toulouse
U U T T T
3–2
Full-time
Liverpool
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,3
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,96 xG 1,04
28% Possession 72%
11 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -23 Liverpool – Toulouse 5–1

Match report

Toulouse Liverpool
Niklas Schmidt 🟨
11′
34′
🟨 Wataru Endo
1–0 A. Dønnum ⚽
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Mohamed Salah
↦ B. Doak
46′
🔁 T. Alexander-Arnold
↦ W. Endo
46′
🔁 D. Szoboszlai
↦ K. Tsimikas
2–0 T. Dallinga ⚽
V. Sierro
58′
F. Magri 🔁
↦ N. Schmidt
69′
73′
🔁 D. Núñez
↦ C. Gakpo
74′
⚽ C. Cásseres 3–0
own goal
4–0 F. Magri ⚽
76′
W. Kamanzi 🔁
↦ A. Dønnum
81′
81′
🔁 Diogo Jota
↦ L. Díaz
César Gelabert 🔁
↦ T. Dallinga
88′
89′
⚽ Diogo Jota 4–1
A. Mac Allister
Warren Kamanzi 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Darwin Núñez
Guillaume Restes 🟨
96′
Moussa Diarra 🟨
98′
Rasmus Nicolaisen 🟨
98′
100′
ℹ️ Jarell Quansah
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Toulouse

4-4-2
50 G. Restes G
3 M. Desler D
6 Logan Costa D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
23 M. Diarra D
15 A. Dønnum M
8 V. Sierro M
24 C. Cásseres M
17 G. Suazo M
9 T. Dallinga F
20 N. Schmidt F
Bench (10)
19 F. Magri
12 W. Kamanzi
11 César Gelabert
40 J. Lacombe
21 M. Bangré
30 Álex Domínguez
10 I. Cissoko
25 K. Keben
13 C. Mawissa
14 Y. Begraoui

Coach: Carles Martínez

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
2 J. Gomez D
32 J. Matip D
78 J. Quansah D
21 K. Tsimikas D
19 H. Elliott M
3 W. Endo M
10 A. Mac Allister M
50 B. Doak F
18 C. Gakpo F
7 L. Díaz F
Bench (12)
11 Mohamed Salah
66 T. Alexander-Arnold
8 D. Szoboszlai
9 D. Núñez
20 Diogo Jota
5 I. Konaté
1 Alisson Becker
48 C. Scanlon
53 J. McConnell
49 K. Gordon
93 F. Mrozek
44 L. Chambers

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.