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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz
Alaves
U S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Mallorca
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 19. · Mallorca 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Betis 2 0 2 0 +0 2
7 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Mallorca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Elche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Vallecano 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,19
B ✓
3,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.