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La Liga
Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera
Betis
S S T S S
4–1
Full-time
Valencia
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 6. · Valencia 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 10 6 3 1 +10 21
2 Sociedad 10 6 3 1 +5 21
3 Real Madrid 9 6 2 1 +13 20
4 Vallecano 11 6 1 4 +6 19
5 Ath Madrid 9 5 3 1 +5 18
6 Betis 10 5 3 2 +4 18
7 Osasuna 10 5 3 2 +1 18
8 Ath Bilbao 10 4 5 1 +4 17
9 Barcelona 10 4 3 3 +4 15
10 Espanol 11 3 5 3 +0 14
11 Valencia 10 3 4 3 +2 13
12 Mallorca 11 3 4 4 -6 13
13 Villarreal 10 2 6 2 +3 12
14 Celta 10 3 1 6 -2 10
15 Elche 11 2 4 5 -5 10
16 Alaves 10 3 0 7 -8 9
17 Cadiz 11 1 5 5 -8 8
18 Granada 9 1 4 4 -6 7
19 Levante 10 0 5 5 -9 5
20 Getafe 10 0 2 8 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Valencia
12′
🟨 Omar Alderete
Borja Iglesias ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
13′
1–0 Borja Iglesias
14′
2–0 Borja Iglesias
Juanmi
30′
William Carvalho 🟨
37′
39′
Gabriel Paulista 2–1
Half-time 2–1
48′
🔁 M. Diakhaby
↦ Gabriel Paulista
49′
🟨 Hugo Guillamón
Guido Rodríguez 🟨
54′
60′
🔁 Y. Musah
↦ Jesús Vázquez
60′
🔁 Hélder Costa
↦ Hugo Duro
3–1 G. Pezzella
N. Fekir
61′
A. Guardado 🔁
↦ G. Rodríguez
63′
4–1 Juanmi
68′
70′
🟨 Gonçalo Guedes
73′
🟨 Dimitri Foulquier
Joaquín 🔁
↦ Juanmi
74′
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ N. Fekir
74′
75′
🔁 U. Račić
↦ D. Wass
75′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ Gonçalo Guedes
77′
🟨 Manu Vallejo
Willian José 🔁
↦ Borja Iglesias
84′
Rober 🔁
↦ William Carvalho
84′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 C. Bravo G
6 Víctor Ruíz D
2 Martín Montoya D
16 G. Pezzella D
15 Álex Moreno D
10 Sergio Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Rodríguez M
7 Juanmi M
8 N. Fekir M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (12)
18 A. Guardado
17 Joaquín
24 Aitor Ruibal
12 Willian José
27 Rober
11 Tello
13 Rui Silva
20 D. Lainez
28 Rodri
33 Juan Miranda
19 Bellerín
5 Marc Bartra

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Valencia

4-4-2
13 J. Cillessen G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
20 D. Foulquier D
14 José Gayà D
15 O. Alderete D
6 Hugo Guillamón M
32 Jesús Vázquez M
18 D. Wass M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
22 Marcos André F
19 Hugo Duro F
Bench (11)
12 M. Diakhaby
4 Y. Musah
11 Hélder Costa
8 U. Račić
21 Manu Vallejo
24 C. Piccini
16 Álex Blanco
31 Hugo González
1 Jaume Doménech
28 G. Mamardashvili
26 Pedro Serna

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,57
B
4,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.