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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Ortiz
Valencia
U U T T U
3–0
Full-time
Betis
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
31%
54%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
5 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valencia 12. · Betis 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 12 1 1 +28 37
2 Real Madrid 13 10 2 1 +18 32
3 Sociedad 14 8 2 4 +2 26
4 Ath Bilbao 14 7 3 4 +10 24
5 Betis 13 7 3 3 +8 24
6 Ath Madrid 14 7 3 4 +7 24
7 Osasuna 14 7 2 5 +2 23
8 Vallecano 14 6 4 4 +4 22
9 Villarreal 14 6 3 5 +5 21
10 Mallorca 14 5 4 5 +0 19
11 Valladolid 14 5 2 7 -8 17
12 Valencia 13 4 4 5 +4 16
13 Girona 14 4 4 6 -2 16
14 Almeria 14 5 1 8 -6 16
15 Getafe 14 3 5 6 -8 14
16 Espanol 14 2 6 6 -6 12
17 Celta 14 3 3 8 -12 12
18 Sevilla 14 2 5 7 -9 11
19 Cadiz 13 2 5 6 -16 11
20 Elche 14 0 4 10 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Betis
Samu Castillejo 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Edgar González
58′
🔁 Rodri
↦ William Carvalho
58′
🔁 P. Akouokou
↦ G. Rodríguez
61′
🟨 Edgar González
61′
🟥 Edgar González
1–0 André Almeida
63′
64′
🔁 G. Pezzella
↦ Juan Cruz
67′
🟨 Paul Akouokou
J. Kluivert 🔁
↦ Samu Castillejo
69′
Hugo Guillamón 🔁
↦ Nico González
79′
Marcos André 🔁
↦ Hugo Duro
79′
2–0 Hugo Guillamón
81′
82′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Y. Sabaly
D. Foulquier 🔁
↦ Y. Musah
85′
3–0 J. Kluivert
José Gayà
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Valencia

4-3-3
25 G. Mamardashvili G
2 Thierry Correia D
24 E. Cömert D
15 C. Özkacar D
14 José Gayà D
4 Y. Musah M
17 Nico González M
18 André Almeida M
11 Samu Castillejo F
19 Hugo Duro F
16 Samuel Lino F
Bench (12)
9 J. Kluivert
6 Hugo Guillamón
22 Marcos André
20 D. Foulquier
3 Toni Lato
1 Iago Herrerín
21 Jesús Vázquez
13 Cristian Rivero
5 Gabriel Paulista
43 Mario Dominguez
33 Cristhian Mosquera
29 Fran Pérez

Coach: G. Gattuso

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
3 Edgar González D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
15 Álex Moreno D
5 G. Rodríguez M
14 William Carvalho M
11 Luiz Henrique M
10 Sergio Canales M
29 Juan Cruz M
12 Willian José F
Bench (10)
28 Rodri
4 P. Akouokou
16 G. Pezzella
24 Aitor Ruibal
21 Loren Morón
33 Juan Miranda
35 Félix Garreta
25 Dani Martín
2 Martín Montoya
18 A. Guardado

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,37
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Ortiz · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.