La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Getafe
Barcelona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
36 | 26 | 6 | 4 | +49 | 84 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
36 | 21 | 9 | 6 | +32 | 72 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | +21 | 67 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
36 | 17 | 15 | 4 | +22 | 66 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | +20 | 61 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | +3 | 59 |
| 7 |
Villarreal
|
36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | +25 | 56 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | +6 | 52 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | -10 | 47 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | -7 | 45 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | +1 | 43 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -8 | 42 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | -13 | 41 |
| 14 |
Elche
|
36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | -13 | 39 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 |
Granada
|
36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | -15 | 37 |
| 17 |
Cadiz
|
36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -17 | 35 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | -30 | 33 |
| 19 |
Alaves
|
36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | -31 | 31 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
36 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -29 | 29 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Osasuna
Getafe
Getafe
Vallecano
Getafe
Betis
Celta
Getafe
Getafe
Villarreal
Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.