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La Liga

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Sociedad

S U S S U

0–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 32/31 matches

Win Ø 51%

47%

55%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

25%

55%

Both score Ø 43%

28%

58%

Average goals

1,9

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

8 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 6. · Barcelona 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	33	24	6	3	+40	78
2	Sevilla	33	17	12	4	+22	63
3	Ath Madrid	33	18	7	8	+20	61
4	Barcelona	31	17	9	5	+28	60
5	Betis	33	17	6	10	+18	57
6	Sociedad	32	15	10	7	+2	55
7	Villarreal	33	14	10	9	+22	52
8	Ath Bilbao	33	12	12	9	+5	48
9	Osasuna	33	12	8	13	-10	44
10	Valencia	33	10	12	11	-4	42
11	Celta	33	10	9	14	-1	39
12	Espanol	33	10	9	14	-8	39
13	Elche	33	10	8	15	-8	38
14	Vallecano	32	10	7	15	-5	37
15	Getafe	33	8	11	14	-6	35
16	Mallorca	33	8	8	17	-25	32
17	Cadiz	33	6	13	14	-17	31
18	Granada	33	6	12	15	-20	30
19	Levante	33	5	10	18	-24	25
20	Alaves	33	6	7	20	-29	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	11	4	1	+21	37
2	Sevilla	16	11	4	1	+18	37
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	4	2	+16	37
4	Villarreal	17	10	5	2	+23	35
5	Barcelona	15	10	2	3	+18	32
6	Sociedad	16	9	5	2	+6	32
7	Espanol	17	9	4	4	+6	31
8	Betis	17	9	2	6	+11	29
9	Vallecano	16	8	4	4	+10	28
10	Ath Bilbao	16	8	3	5	+7	27
11	Getafe	16	7	4	5	+6	25
12	Mallorca	17	6	6	5	-2	24
13	Elche	16	6	5	5	+3	23
14	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+3	22
15	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-7	21
16	Celta	17	5	4	8	-2	19
17	Alaves	16	5	4	7	-5	19
18	Granada	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Levante	17	3	7	7	-5	16
20	Cadiz	17	2	8	7	-8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	2	2	+19	41
2	Barcelona	16	7	7	2	+10	28
3	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
4	Sevilla	17	6	8	3	+4	26
5	Ath Madrid	16	7	3	6	+4	24
6	Osasuna	16	7	2	7	-3	23
7	Sociedad	16	6	5	5	-4	23
8	Ath Bilbao	17	4	9	4	-2	21
9	Celta	16	5	5	6	+1	20
10	Valencia	17	5	5	7	-7	20
11	Villarreal	16	4	5	7	-1	17
12	Cadiz	16	4	5	7	-9	17
13	Elche	17	4	3	10	-11	15
14	Granada	17	2	7	8	-12	13
15	Getafe	17	1	7	9	-12	10
16	Vallecano	16	2	3	11	-15	9
17	Levante	16	2	3	11	-19	9
18	Espanol	16	1	5	10	-14	8
19	Mallorca	16	2	2	12	-23	8
20	Alaves	17	1	3	13	-24	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.