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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Sociedad
S U T U T
3–0
Full-time
Cadiz
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
20%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
26%
37%
Both score Ø 40%
31%
49%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 12
1 Offside 7
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 6. · Cadiz 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 35 25 6 4 +43 81
2 Barcelona 36 21 9 6 +32 72
3 Ath Madrid 36 20 7 9 +21 67
4 Sevilla 36 17 15 4 +22 66
5 Betis 36 18 7 11 +20 61
6 Sociedad 35 15 11 9 +0 56
7 Villarreal 35 14 11 10 +21 53
8 Ath Bilbao 36 13 13 10 +6 52
9 Osasuna 36 12 11 13 -10 47
10 Valencia 36 10 14 12 -7 44
11 Celta 36 11 10 15 +1 43
12 Vallecano 35 11 9 15 -4 42
13 Espanol 36 10 10 16 -13 40
14 Elche 36 10 9 17 -13 39
15 Getafe 36 8 14 14 -6 38
16 Granada 36 8 13 15 -15 37
17 Cadiz 35 7 14 14 -14 35
18 Mallorca 36 8 9 19 -30 33
19 Alaves 36 8 7 21 -31 31
20 Levante 35 6 11 18 -23 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Cadiz
4′
🟨 José Mari
1–0 A. Sørloth
David Silva
19′
43′
ℹ️ Oussama Idrissi
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Januzaj
53′
Rafinha Alcântara 🟨
60′
60′
🔁 Alejo
↦ T. Alarcón
60′
🔁 A. Lozano
↦ O. Idrissi
60′
🔁 Rubén Alcaraz
↦ José Mari
David Silva 🟨
63′
Jon Guridi 🔁
↦ Rafinha
65′
Igor Zubeldia 🟨
66′
72′
🔁 Isaac Carcelén
↦ Alejo
76′
🔁 Álvaro Negredo
↦ Sobrino
Portu 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
78′
82′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
Aihen Muñoz 🔁
↦ Diego Rico
83′
Jon Pacheco 🔁
↦ Zubeldía
84′
Portu 🟨
98′
3–0 Portu
98′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-1-2
1 Álex Remiro G
15 Diego Rico D
6 Elustondo D
18 Gorosabel D
21 David Silva M
17 Rafinha M
11 A. Januzaj F
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Zubeldía D
3 Martín Zubimendi M
23 A. Sørloth F
Bench (12)
14 Jon Guridi
7 Portu
12 Aihen Muñoz
26 Jon Pacheco
37 N. Djouahra
27 Beñat Turrientes
33 Jon Karrikaburu
16 Guevara
35 Julen Lobete
13 M. Ryan
2 Zaldúa
47 Ander Martín

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Cadiz

4-4-1-1
1 J. Ledesma G
23 Luis Hernández D
15 Carlos Akapo D
22 A. Espino D
32 Víctor Chust D
8 Álex F
6 José Mari M
12 T. Alarcón M
25 Lucas Pérez F
21 Sobrino M
11 O. Idrissi M
Bench (12)
14 Alejo
9 A. Lozano
4 Rubén Alcaraz
20 Isaac Carcelén
18 Álvaro Negredo
3 Fali Jiménez
19 S. Arzamendia
2 J. Jønsson
7 Salvi
13 David Gil
17 F. Andone
16 Juan Cala

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,70
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.