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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Barcelona

T S S S U

0–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 49%

57%

41%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 53%

57%

49%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%

14 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 1

5 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	38	26	8	4	+49	86
2	Barcelona	37	21	10	6	+32	73
3	Ath Madrid	37	20	8	9	+21	68
4	Sevilla	37	17	16	4	+22	67
5	Betis	38	19	8	11	+22	65
6	Sociedad	37	17	11	9	+4	62
7	Villarreal	37	15	11	11	+24	56
8	Ath Bilbao	37	14	13	10	+8	55
9	Valencia	38	11	15	12	-5	48
10	Osasuna	38	12	11	15	-14	47
11	Celta	38	12	10	16	+0	46
12	Vallecano	38	11	9	18	-11	42
13	Elche	38	11	9	18	-12	42
14	Espanol	38	10	12	16	-13	42
15	Getafe	38	8	15	15	-8	39
16	Cadiz	38	8	15	15	-16	39
17	Mallorca	38	10	9	19	-27	39
18	Granada	38	8	14	16	-17	38
19	Levante	38	8	11	19	-25	35
20	Alaves	38	8	7	23	-34	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	13	5	1	+31	44
2	Ath Madrid	19	12	5	2	+17	41
3	Sevilla	18	11	6	1	+18	39
4	Barcelona	18	12	2	4	+20	38
5	Villarreal	19	10	6	3	+22	36
6	Sociedad	18	10	5	3	+8	35
7	Ath Bilbao	19	10	4	5	+11	34
8	Espanol	19	9	6	4	+6	33
9	Betis	19	10	2	7	+12	32
10	Vallecano	19	8	5	6	+4	29
11	Getafe	19	7	7	5	+6	28
12	Elche	19	7	6	6	+3	27
13	Mallorca	19	7	6	6	-5	27
14	Valencia	19	6	8	5	+2	26
15	Celta	19	7	4	8	+3	25
16	Alaves	19	7	4	8	-4	25
17	Levante	19	5	7	7	-2	22
18	Granada	19	5	7	7	-7	22
19	Osasuna	19	5	7	7	-9	22
20	Cadiz	19	3	9	7	-5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	13	3	3	+18	42
2	Barcelona	19	9	8	2	+12	35
3	Betis	19	9	6	4	+10	33
4	Sevilla	19	6	10	3	+4	28
5	Ath Madrid	18	8	3	7	+4	27
6	Sociedad	19	7	6	6	-4	27
7	Osasuna	19	7	4	8	-5	25
8	Valencia	19	5	7	7	-7	22
9	Celta	19	5	6	8	-3	21
10	Ath Bilbao	18	4	9	5	-3	21
11	Cadiz	19	5	6	8	-11	21
12	Villarreal	18	5	5	8	+2	20
13	Granada	19	3	7	9	-10	16
14	Elche	19	4	3	12	-15	15
15	Vallecano	19	3	4	12	-15	13
16	Levante	19	3	4	12	-23	13
17	Mallorca	19	3	3	13	-22	12
18	Getafe	19	1	8	10	-14	11
19	Espanol	19	1	6	12	-19	9
20	Alaves	19	1	3	15	-30	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.