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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Ath Madrid

U S U U U

2–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,0

1,3

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 6%

11%

Both score Ø 28%

22%

33%

Average goals

1,4

Scored

0,9

Conceded

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

9 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Ath Bilbao 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	1	2	+13	19
2	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+10	17
4	Granada	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Sociedad	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Ath Madrid	9	4	4	1	+3	16
7	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+0	16
8	Valladolid	10	3	5	2	+1	14
9	Ath Bilbao	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Getafe	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	Valencia	9	3	4	2	+0	13
12	Levante	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Osasuna	9	2	5	2	-1	11
14	Alaves	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Mallorca	10	3	1	6	-6	10
16	Eibar	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Celta	9	2	3	4	-6	9
18	Betis	9	2	3	4	-7	9
19	Leganes	10	1	2	7	-9	5
20	Espanol	9	1	2	6	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Mallorca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+6	9
8	Valencia	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Granada	4	3	0	1	+3	9
10	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+2	9
11	Levante	4	2	2	0	+3	8
12	Betis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+1	7
15	Celta	5	2	1	2	-2	7
16	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+2	6
17	Osasuna	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Espanol	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	-1	9
2	Granada	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Valladolid	6	2	2	2	-1	8
5	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	+1	6
9	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Ath Bilbao	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Levante	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Celta	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Betis	4	0	1	3	-9	1
19	Alaves	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Mallorca	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.