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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Ath Bilbao
U U U U U
2–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 31/32 matches
Win Ø 49%
29%
69%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
38%
Both score Ø 48%
55%
41%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 11
1 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 11. · Ath Madrid 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 32 22 7 3 +39 73
2 Barcelona 32 22 5 5 +47 71
3 Real Madrid 33 21 8 4 +32 71
4 Sevilla 33 22 4 7 +23 70
5 Sociedad 32 13 11 8 +16 50
6 Betis 33 14 8 11 -3 50
7 Villarreal 33 12 13 8 +12 49
8 Granada 32 12 6 14 -12 42
9 Celta 33 10 11 12 -7 41
10 Osasuna 33 10 10 13 -8 40
11 Ath Bilbao 31 9 11 11 +6 38
12 Levante 33 9 11 13 -8 38
13 Cadiz 33 9 10 14 -21 37
14 Valencia 33 8 12 13 -7 36
15 Getafe 33 8 10 15 -13 34
16 Alaves 33 7 10 16 -21 31
17 Elche 33 6 12 15 -20 30
18 Valladolid 32 5 14 13 -14 29
19 Huesca 33 5 12 16 -19 27
20 Eibar 32 4 11 17 -22 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,32
U
3,34
B
1,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.