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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Valencia

U T T U S

1–1

Full-time

Osasuna

U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 20%

22%

17%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

56%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 14. · Osasuna 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	13	2	1	+25	41
2	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+15	37
3	Barcelona	18	10	4	4	+20	34
4	Villarreal	19	8	9	2	+9	33
5	Sevilla	18	10	3	5	+7	33
6	Sociedad	19	8	6	5	+13	30
7	Granada	19	8	4	7	-8	28
8	Betis	19	8	2	9	-8	26
9	Cadiz	19	6	6	7	-7	24
10	Getafe	18	6	5	7	-2	23
11	Celta	19	6	5	8	-7	23
12	Levante	18	5	7	6	-1	22
13	Ath Bilbao	18	6	3	9	-1	21
14	Valencia	18	4	7	7	-1	19
15	Eibar	18	4	7	7	-3	19
16	Valladolid	19	4	7	8	-9	19
17	Alaves	19	4	6	9	-8	18
18	Elche	17	3	8	6	-7	17
19	Osasuna	18	3	6	9	-12	15
20	Huesca	19	1	9	9	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Villarreal	10	5	5	0	+7	20
3	Granada	10	6	2	2	+3	20
4	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+11	18
5	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	+10	18
6	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Ath Bilbao	9	5	0	4	+5	15
8	Levante	8	4	3	1	+4	15
9	Celta	9	5	0	4	-2	15
10	Getafe	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Betis	9	4	2	3	+0	14
12	Sociedad	9	3	4	2	+5	13
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	+1	10
14	Alaves	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Cadiz	10	2	4	4	-4	10
16	Valladolid	10	2	4	4	-5	10
17	Osasuna	9	2	3	4	-5	9
18	Elche	9	1	5	3	-5	8
19	Eibar	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Huesca	9	1	4	4	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+5	19
2	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+8	17
3	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Barcelona	9	5	1	3	+9	16
5	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
6	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Villarreal	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Betis	10	4	0	6	-8	12
10	Valencia	9	2	3	4	-2	9
11	Elche	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Celta	10	1	5	4	-5	8
15	Alaves	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Granada	9	2	2	5	-11	8
17	Levante	10	1	4	5	-5	7
18	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
19	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Huesca	10	0	5	5	-10	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.