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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Betis
T S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Celta
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
39%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
39%
44%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 11. · Celta 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 16 13 2 1 +25 41
2 Real Madrid 18 11 4 3 +15 37
3 Barcelona 18 10 4 4 +20 34
4 Sevilla 18 10 3 5 +7 33
5 Villarreal 18 8 8 2 +9 32
6 Sociedad 19 8 6 5 +13 30
7 Granada 18 8 3 7 -8 27
8 Cadiz 19 6 6 7 -7 24
9 Getafe 18 6 5 7 -2 23
10 Celta 18 6 5 7 -6 23
11 Betis 18 7 2 9 -9 23
12 Levante 18 5 7 6 -1 22
13 Ath Bilbao 18 6 3 9 -1 21
14 Valencia 18 4 7 7 -1 19
15 Eibar 18 4 7 7 -3 19
16 Valladolid 19 4 7 8 -9 19
17 Alaves 19 4 6 9 -8 18
18 Elche 17 3 8 6 -7 17
19 Osasuna 18 3 6 9 -12 15
20 Huesca 19 1 9 9 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Joel Robles G
6 Víctor Ruíz D
23 A. Mandi D
33 Juan Miranda D
22 Emerson D
10 Canales M
21 G. Rodríguez M
8 N. Fekir M
24 Aitor Ruibal M
16 Loren Morón F
20 D. Lainez M
Bench (12)
28 Rodri
18 A. Guardado
9 Borja Iglesias
15 Álex Moreno
17 Joaquín
12 Sidnei
2 Martín Montoya
31 Carlos Marín
7 Juanmi
19 A. Sanabria
11 Tello
30 Dani Rebollo

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Celta

4-1-3-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
4 N. Araújo D
19 Aarón Martín D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
11 E. Mor F
23 Brais Méndez M
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (9)
18 J. Aidoo
27 Miguel Baeza
8 Fran Beltrán
29 José Fontán
1 Iván Villar
39 J. Holsgrove
36 Alfon González
5 O. Yokuşlu
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: E. Coudet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,45
B
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.