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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Eibar
S T T U S
3–1
Full-time
Valladolid
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
22%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
50%
28%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
9 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 12
0 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 15. · Valladolid 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 36 25 8 3 +44 83
2 Barcelona 36 24 7 5 +44 79
3 Ath Madrid 36 17 15 4 +22 66
4 Sevilla 36 18 12 6 +19 66
5 Villarreal 36 17 6 13 +11 57
6 Getafe 36 14 12 10 +9 54
7 Sociedad 36 16 6 14 +8 54
8 Ath Bilbao 36 13 12 11 +9 51
9 Granada 36 14 8 14 +2 50
10 Valencia 36 13 11 12 -7 50
11 Osasuna 36 12 12 12 -9 48
12 Levante 36 12 7 17 -8 43
13 Betis 36 10 11 15 -9 41
14 Valladolid 36 8 15 13 -11 39
15 Eibar 36 10 9 17 -15 39
16 Celta 36 7 15 14 -11 36
17 Alaves 36 9 9 18 -21 36
18 Leganes 36 7 11 18 -23 32
19 Mallorca 36 9 5 22 -24 32
20 Espanol 36 5 9 22 -30 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Valladolid
Rafa 🟨
17′
1–0 P. Bigas
P. Leon
21′
S. Alvarez 🟨
24′
2–0 T. Inui
28′
32′
🔁 Kiko
↦ Antonito
Half-time 2–0
S. Alvarez 🔁
↦ P. Diop
46′
46′
🔁 Toni
↦ S. Guardiola
P. Oliveira 🔁
↦ E. Burgos
48′
61′
🔁 P. Hervias
↦ V. Garcia
T. Inui 🔁
↦ Charles
65′
65′
🔁 Churripi
↦ S. Perez
E. Burgos 🟨
68′
71′
S. Guardiola
penalty missed
71′
S. Guardiola 2–1
Quique 🔁
↦ S. Enrich
79′
P. Leon 🔁
↦ S. Cristoforo
80′
3–1 P. De Blasis
92′
P. De Blasis 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Yoel Rodríguez G
24 Álvaro Tejero D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
3 Pedro Bigas D
11 Rafa Soares D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Edu Expósito M
21 Pedro León M
22 Takashi Inui M
16 Pablo De Blasis M
7 Quique F
Bench (9)
1 Marko Dmitrović
2 Esteban Burgos
15 José Ángel
20 Róber
8 Papakouli Diop
18 Sebastián Cristóforo
17 Kike
19 Charles Días
9 Sergi Enrich

Coach: Mendilibar

Valladolid

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
17 Javi Moyano D
4 Kiko Olivas D
5 Javi Sánchez D
22 Nacho Martinez D
11 Pablo Hervias M
8 Matheus Fernandes M
16 Fede San Emeterio M
19 Toni Villa M
20 Sandro Ramírez F
9 Enes Ünal F
Bench (8)
26 Samuel Pérez
1 Jordi Masip
18 Antoñito
30 Diego Alende
10 Óscar Plano
35 Víctor García
7 Sergi Guardiola
23 Waldo Rubio Marin

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,12
B
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.