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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Levante
T S U U T
1–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 34%
34%
34%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
51%
29%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
5 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 12. · Ath Bilbao 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 35 24 8 3 +43 80
2 Barcelona 36 24 7 5 +44 79
3 Ath Madrid 36 17 15 4 +22 66
4 Sevilla 35 17 12 6 +17 63
5 Villarreal 35 17 6 12 +12 57
6 Getafe 35 14 11 10 +9 53
7 Sociedad 35 15 6 14 +7 51
8 Granada 35 14 8 13 +3 50
9 Valencia 35 13 11 11 -6 50
10 Ath Bilbao 35 12 12 11 +8 48
11 Osasuna 36 12 12 12 -9 48
12 Levante 35 12 7 16 -7 43
13 Betis 36 10 11 15 -9 41
14 Valladolid 36 8 15 13 -11 39
15 Eibar 36 10 9 17 -15 39
16 Celta 36 7 15 14 -11 36
17 Alaves 35 9 8 18 -21 35
18 Mallorca 35 9 5 21 -22 32
19 Leganes 35 6 11 18 -24 29
20 Espanol 36 5 9 22 -30 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Ath Bilbao
4′
R. Garcia 0–1
17′
🟨 I. Martinez
Half-time 0–2
46′
R. Garcia 0–2
O. de Marcos
J. Morales 🔁
↦ M. Roger
62′
N. Vukcevic 🔁
↦ N. Radoja
62′
67′
🔁 I. Williams
↦ Lekue
67′
🔁 O. Sancet
↦ I. Cordoba
1–2 E. Bardhi
B. Mayoral
71′
E. Bardhi 🔁
↦ Hernani
73′
87′
🔁 R. Garcia
↦ A. Villalibre
87′
🔁 I. Muniain
↦ K. Kodro
R. Rochina 🔁
↦ G. Kochorashvili
89′
O. Duarte 🔁
↦ G. Melero
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor G
15 Sergio Postigo D
6 Óscar Duarte D
14 Rubén Vezo D
19 Carlos Clerc D
16 Ruben Rochina M
24 José Campaña M
17 Nikola Vukčević M
10 Enis Bardhi M
21 Borja Mayoral F
11 José Luis Morales F
Bench (12)
1 Koke
4 Róber Pier
38 Rubén García
3 Toño
23 Coke
22 Gonzalo Melero
5 Nemanja Radoja
43 Giorgi Kochorashvili
9 Roger Martí
7 Sergio León
8 Hernani
31 Joan Monterde

Coach: Paco López

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
18 Óscar de Marcos D
3 Unai Núñez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
24 Mikel Balenziaga D
8 Unai Lopez M
16 Mikel Vesga M
9 Iñaki Williams M
34 Oihan Sancet M
10 Iker Muniain M
22 Raúl García F
Bench (11)
31 Jokin Ezkieta
13 Iago Herrerín
15 Íñigo Lekue
29 Daniel Vivian
11 Inigo Cordoba
19 Ibai Gómez
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
6 Mikel San José
27 Unai Vencedor
23 Kenan Kodro
25 Asier Villalibre

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,55
U
3,28
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.