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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Villarreal

T T U S S

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 34/35 matches

Win Ø 52%

47%

57%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

53%

57%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Valencia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	34	26	8	0	+66	86
2	Ath Madrid	35	22	9	4	+37	75
3	Real Madrid	34	21	8	5	+45	71
4	Valencia	35	20	7	8	+26	67
5	Betis	36	18	5	13	+0	59
6	Villarreal	34	16	6	12	+8	54
7	Sevilla	35	15	6	14	-11	51
8	Getafe	35	13	10	12	+8	49
9	Girona	36	13	9	14	-9	48
10	Eibar	36	13	8	15	-7	47
11	Sociedad	36	13	7	16	+7	46
12	Celta	36	12	10	14	+3	46
13	Ath Bilbao	36	10	13	13	-5	43
14	Alaves	35	13	2	20	-14	41
15	Espanol	35	9	13	13	-12	40
16	Leganes	35	11	7	17	-14	40
17	Levante	35	9	13	13	-16	40
18	La Coruna	36	6	11	19	-35	29
19	Las Palmas	35	5	7	23	-47	22
20	Malaga	35	5	5	25	-30	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	2	0	+37	44
2	Ath Madrid	17	12	5	0	+24	41
3	Valencia	18	12	3	3	+19	39
4	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+28	37
5	Betis	18	10	3	5	+4	33
6	Villarreal	17	10	2	5	+12	32
7	Sevilla	17	9	5	3	+7	32
8	Getafe	18	9	4	5	+14	31
9	Sociedad	18	9	3	6	+17	30
10	Celta	18	7	8	3	+9	29
11	Leganes	17	8	4	5	+2	28
12	Girona	18	8	3	7	+5	27
13	Espanol	18	7	6	5	+1	27
14	Ath Bilbao	18	6	8	4	+4	26
15	Eibar	18	7	4	7	+6	25
16	Alaves	18	8	1	9	-4	25
17	Levante	18	6	6	6	-4	24
18	La Coruna	18	4	6	8	-9	18
19	Malaga	17	4	3	10	-9	15
20	Las Palmas	17	4	2	11	-21	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	6	0	+29	42
2	Real Madrid	16	10	4	2	+17	34
3	Ath Madrid	18	10	4	4	+13	34
4	Valencia	17	8	4	5	+7	28
5	Betis	18	8	2	8	-4	26
6	Villarreal	17	6	4	7	-4	22
7	Eibar	18	6	4	8	-13	22
8	Girona	18	5	6	7	-14	21
9	Sevilla	18	6	1	11	-18	19
10	Getafe	17	4	6	7	-6	18
11	Celta	18	5	2	11	-6	17
12	Ath Bilbao	18	4	5	9	-9	17
13	Sociedad	18	4	4	10	-10	16
14	Alaves	17	5	1	11	-10	16
15	Levante	17	3	7	7	-12	16
16	Espanol	17	2	7	8	-13	13
17	Leganes	18	3	3	12	-16	12
18	La Coruna	18	2	5	11	-26	11
19	Las Palmas	18	1	5	12	-26	8
20	Malaga	18	1	2	15	-21	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.